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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Roman Dolidze won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1497
Roman Dolidze editorial illustration
Elo1389
Khadis Ibragimov

Roman DolidzevsKhadis IbragimovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 · Saturday, July 18, 2020Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Roman Dolidze won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:15

Model Prediction: Khadis Ibragimov wins(74.1%)

Actual result: Roman Dolidze wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Khadis Ibragimov at +135 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Khadis Ibragimov enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Khadis Ibragimov has 48pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Roman Dolidze
Red Corner
VS
Khadis Ibragimov
Blue Corner
-167
(63%)
Vegas Odds
+135
(43%)
1497
Elo
1389
38
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'3"
193.04 cm
Reach
198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Roman DolidzeL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Anthony Smith · Jun 24
W
KOvs Kevin Holland · Oct 24
W
vs Marvin Vettori · Mar 25
L
SUBvs Anthony Hernandez · Aug 25
L
vs Christian Leroy Duncan · Mar 26
latest
Khadis IbragimovL3 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Da Un Jung · Aug 19
L
vs Ed Herman · Nov 19
L
vs Danilo Marques · Sep 20
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Roman DolidzeMetricKhadis Ibragimov
3.19
Strikes / min
3.55
3.71
Strikes absorbed / min
4.26
48%
Strike defense
47%
1.16
TDs / 15 min
0.97
32%
Takedown defense
80%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.52evenly matched on net striking-0.71

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1470Strikes0.0 vs 5.2Takedowns0.0 vs 1.7Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form0.0 vs -1.0
Roman DolidzeKhadis Ibragimov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Roman Dolidze(10 fights)Khadis Ibragimov(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +108.5|Blue -108.5
Recent Form
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score
Red +49.6|Blue -49.6
Grappler Score
Red +49.7|Blue -49.7
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Roman DolidzeTargetKhadis Ibragimov

By target zone

9
82% acc · 47%
Head
0
0% acc
1
100% acc · 5%
Body
1
33% acc · 25%
9
90% acc · 47%
Leg
3
100% acc · 75%

By position

13
81% acc · 68%
Distance
3
25% acc · 75%
0
Clinch
0
6
100% acc · 32%
Ground
1
50% acc · 25%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Roman Dolidze rounds
0
even
0
Khadis Ibragimov rounds
Round 1Roman Dolidze edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:03
Knockdowns1
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:34Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
19 / 22
Sig Strikes
4 / 14
86%
Sig Str %
28%
19 / 22
Total Strikes
10 / 20
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:03
Ctrl Time
0:34

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Khadis Ibragimov4 / 1410 / 200 / 00
1Roman Dolidze19 / 2219 / 220 / 00

Roman Dolidze

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights14

Khadis Ibragimov

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights4