← All fights/Event page

Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Roman Dolidze won · S-DEC

Elo1497

Elo1411

Roman DolidzevsJohn AllanUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · Saturday, December 5, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Roman Dolidze won

S-DEC

Model Prediction: John Allan wins(54.1%)

Actual result: Roman Dolidze wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

John Allan at +160 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

John Allan has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Roman Dolidze

Red Corner

John Allan

Blue Corner

-200

(67%)

Vegas Odds

+160

(38%)

1497

Elo

1411

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'1"

193.04 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Roman DolidzeL2 streak

oldest →

vs Anthony Smith · Jun 24

KOvs Kevin Holland · Oct 24

vs Marvin Vettori · Mar 25

SUBvs Anthony Hernandez · Aug 25

vs Christian Leroy Duncan · Mar 26

latest

John Allan

oldest →

vs Dustin Jacoby · Nov 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Roman DolidzeMetricJohn Allan

3.19

Strikes / min

3.56

3.71

Strikes absorbed / min

5.74

48%

Strike defense

52%

1.16

TDs / 15 min

1.40

32%

Takedown defense

50%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.52Δ 1.66 — meaningful gap-2.18

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Roman DolidzeJohn Allan

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Roman Dolidze(10 fights)John Allan(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +86.5|Blue -86.5

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Roman DolidzeTargetJohn Allan

By target zone

38% acc · 61%

Head

23% acc · 52%

65% acc · 29%

Body

38% acc · 17%

100% acc · 10%

Leg

100% acc · 31%

By position

47% acc · 92%

Distance

33% acc · 97%

100% acc · 2%

Clinch

100% acc · 3%

38% acc · 6%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Roman Dolidze rounds

even

John Allan rounds

Round 1Roman Dolidze edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns1

Control2:05

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Roman Dolidze edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns1

Control3:30

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Roman Dolidze edged it

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns1

Control1:41

8Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:15Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

51 / 109

Sig Strikes

29 / 86

45.7%

Sig Str %

32.7%

118 / 205

Total Strikes

48 / 117

3 / 5

TDs

1 / 1

77.7%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

7:16

Ctrl Time

0:15

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	John Allan	14 / 38	25 / 57	0 / 0	0
1	Roman Dolidze	11 / 38	19 / 47	1 / 1	3
2	John Allan	7 / 21	10 / 26	0 / 0	0
2	Roman Dolidze	12 / 24	49 / 79	1 / 1	0
3	John Allan	8 / 27	13 / 34	1 / 1	0
3	Roman Dolidze	28 / 47	50 / 79	1 / 3	0

Roman Dolidze

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights14

John Allan

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights2