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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Roland Delorme won · SUB R1
Elo1353
Roland Delorme
Elo1490

Roland DelormevsNick DenisUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · Saturday, May 5, 2012East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA

Official fight result

Roland Delorme won

SUB · Round 1 · 4:59

Style matchupRoland Delorme: WrestlervsNick Denis: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Roland Delorme wins(75.0%)

Actual result: Roland Delorme wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Roland Delorme at +240 American odds

+$240 profit

$340 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Roland Delorme enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Nick Denis has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Roland Delorme
Red Corner
VS
Nick Denis
Blue Corner
+240
(29%)
Vegas Odds
-280
(74%)
1353
Elo
1490
42
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'7"
180.34 cm
Reach
178 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Roland DelormeL3 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Josh Ferguson · Dec 11
W
vs Edwin Figueroa · Jun 13
L
vs Alex Caceres · Sep 13
L
vs Michinori Tanaka · Jun 14
L
SUBvs Ulka Sasaki · Aug 14
latest
Nick Denis
oldest →
W
KOvs Joseph Sandoval · Jan 12
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Roland DelormeMetricNick Denis
2.28
Strikes / min
6.54
4.32
Strikes absorbed / min
5.42
40%
Strike defense
36%
2.51
TDs / 15 min
2.80
42%
Takedown defense
80%
1.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.04Δ 3.16 — meaningful gap+1.12

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1516 vs 1515Strikes36.0 vs 11.0Takedowns2.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts2.00 vs 0.00Form1.0 vs 1.0
Roland DelormeNick Denis

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Roland Delorme(6 fights)Nick Denis(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -136.7|Blue +136.7
Recent Form
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red +48.0|Blue -48.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Roland DelormeTargetNick Denis

By target zone

14
48% acc · 54%
Head
15
44% acc · 63%
9
90% acc · 35%
Body
6
100% acc · 25%
3
100% acc · 12%
Leg
3
100% acc · 13%

By position

18
55% acc · 69%
Distance
8
33% acc · 33%
7
88% acc · 27%
Clinch
13
81% acc · 54%
1
100% acc · 4%
Ground
3
100% acc · 13%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Roland Delorme rounds
1
even
0
Nick Denis rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns1
Control0:33
24Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:04Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
26 / 42
Sig Strikes
24 / 43
61%
Sig Str %
55%
40 / 56
Total Strikes
37 / 60
1 / 5
TDs
1 / 1
20%
TD %
100%
2
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:33
Ctrl Time
2:04

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Nick Denis24 / 4337 / 601 / 10
1Roland Delorme26 / 4240 / 561 / 52

Roland Delorme

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights6

Nick Denis

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach—
Fights2