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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Michinori Tanaka won · U-DEC R3
Elo1353
Roland Delorme
Elo1359

Roland DelormevsMichinori TanakaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · Saturday, June 14, 2014Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada

Official fight result

Michinori Tanaka won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRoland Delorme: WrestlervsMichinori Tanaka: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Roland Delorme wins(72.6%)

Actual result: Michinori Tanaka wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Roland Delorme at +140 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Michinori Tanaka has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Roland Delorme has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Roland Delorme
Red Corner
VS
Michinori Tanaka
Blue Corner
+140
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-150
(60%)
1353
Elo
1359
42
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'5"
180.34 cm
Reach
170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Roland DelormeL2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Josh Ferguson · Dec 11
W
SUBvs Nick Denis · May 12
W
vs Edwin Figueroa · Jun 13
L
vs Alex Caceres · Sep 13
L
SUBvs Ulka Sasaki · Aug 14
latest
Michinori TanakaL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Kyung Ho Kang · Sep 14
W
vs Joe Soto · Jan 16
L
vs Rani Yahya · Sep 16
L
vs Ricardo Ramos · Feb 17
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Roland DelormeMetricMichinori Tanaka
2.28
Strikes / min
1.97
4.32
Strikes absorbed / min
1.99
40%
Strike defense
50%
2.51
TDs / 15 min
2.40
42%
Takedown defense
43%
1.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.04Δ 2.02 — meaningful gap-0.02

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1528 vs 1500Strikes29.4 vs Takedowns2.0 vs Sub Atts1.40 vs Form0.1 vs 0.0
Roland DelormeMichinori Tanaka

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801488149515031510← oldermost recent →
Roland Delorme(6 fights)Michinori Tanaka(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -5.8|Blue +5.8
Recent Form
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score
Red -48.5|Blue +48.5
Grappler Score
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Roland DelormeTargetMichinori Tanaka

By target zone

2
10% acc · 100%
Head
19
56% acc · 90%
0
Body
1
100% acc · 5%
0
Leg
1
50% acc · 5%

By position

1
5% acc · 50%
Distance
4
40% acc · 19%
0
Clinch
1
100% acc · 5%
1
100% acc · 50%
Ground
16
62% acc · 76%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Roland Delorme rounds
0
even
3
Michinori Tanaka rounds
Round 1Michinori Tanaka edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns1
Control0:09
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:13Control
Round 2Michinori Tanaka edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:33Control
Round 3Michinori Tanaka edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:12
9Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:28Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
2 / 20
Sig Strikes
21 / 37
12.3%
Sig Str %
54.7%
25 / 44
Total Strikes
78 / 103
1 / 1
TDs
3 / 4
100%
TD %
75%
0
Sub Att
1
1
Rev
1
0:21
Ctrl Time
10:14

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Michinori Tanaka3 / 824 / 290 / 00
1Roland Delorme1 / 810 / 181 / 10
2Michinori Tanaka9 / 1231 / 371 / 20
2Roland Delorme0 / 87 / 150 / 00
3Michinori Tanaka9 / 1723 / 372 / 21
3Roland Delorme1 / 48 / 110 / 00

Roland Delorme

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights6

Michinori Tanaka

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights5