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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Roland Delorme won · SUB R3

Elo1353

Elo1352

Roland DelormevsJosh FergusonUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisping vs Team Miller Finale · Saturday, December 3, 2011Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Roland Delorme won

SUB · Round 3 · 0:22

Model Prediction: Roland Delorme wins(52.5%)

Actual result: Roland Delorme wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Roland Delorme at -105 American odds

+$95 profit

$195 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Roland Delorme enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Roland Delorme threatens submissions; Josh Ferguson has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Roland Delorme has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Roland Delorme

Red Corner

Josh Ferguson

Blue Corner

-105

(51%)

Vegas Odds

-115

(53%)

1353

Elo

1352

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'5"

180.34 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Roland DelormeL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Nick Denis · May 12

vs Edwin Figueroa · Jun 13

vs Alex Caceres · Sep 13

vs Michinori Tanaka · Jun 14

SUBvs Ulka Sasaki · Aug 14

latest

Josh Ferguson

oldest →

vs Chris Cariaso · Jul 12

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Roland DelormeMetricJosh Ferguson

2.28

Strikes / min

2.13

4.32

Strikes absorbed / min

4.18

40%

Strike defense

32%

2.51

TDs / 15 min

0.59

42%

Takedown defense

54%

1.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.04evenly matched on net striking-2.05

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Roland Delorme(6 fights)Josh Ferguson(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +1.9|Blue -1.9

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Roland DelormeTargetJosh Ferguson

By target zone

50% acc · 44%

Head

52% acc · 74%

94% acc · 42%

Body

88% acc · 21%

100% acc · 14%

Leg

100% acc · 6%

By position

57% acc · 58%

Distance

53% acc · 79%

100% acc · 22%

Clinch

100% acc · 6%

88% acc · 19%

Ground

100% acc · 15%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Roland Delorme rounds

even

Josh Ferguson rounds

Round 1Josh Ferguson edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns1

Control0:47

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

3:58Control

Round 2Roland Delorme edged it

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns1

Control0:29

27Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:02Control

Round 3Roland Delorme edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:13

Knockdowns1

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

36 / 53

Sig Strikes

34 / 58

71%

Sig Str %

47.3%

86 / 104

Total Strikes

50 / 80

2 / 5

TDs

0 / 1

62.5%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

1:29

Ctrl Time

5:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Josh Ferguson	7 / 8	18 / 25	0 / 0	0
1	Roland Delorme	7 / 7	49 / 50	1 / 1	1
2	Josh Ferguson	27 / 49	32 / 54	0 / 0	0
2	Roland Delorme	28 / 44	36 / 52	1 / 4	0
3	Josh Ferguson	0 / 1	0 / 1	0 / 1	0
3	Roland Delorme	1 / 2	1 / 2	0 / 0	1

Roland Delorme

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights6

Josh Ferguson

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach—

Fights2