Lightweight

3 Rounds

Rashid Magomedov won · U-DEC R3

Elo1354

Elo1491

Rodrigo DammvsRashid MagomedovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · Saturday, May 31, 2014Sao Paulo, Brazil

Official fight result

Rashid Magomedov won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRodrigo Damm: Well-roundedvsRashid Magomedov: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Rodrigo Damm wins(51.1%)

Actual result: Rashid Magomedov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Rodrigo Damm at +290 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Rodrigo Damm

Red Corner

Rashid Magomedov

Blue Corner

+290

(26%)

Vegas Odds

-320

(76%)

1354

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'9"

180.34 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rodrigo DammL2 streak

oldest →

vs Antonio Carvalho · Nov 12

vs Mizuto Hirota · Jun 13

vs Ivan Jorge · Feb 14

KOvs Al Iaquinta · Sep 14

vs Evan Dunham · Jan 15

latest

Rashid Magomedov

oldest →

vs Anthony Rocco Martin · Feb 14

KOvs Elias Silverio · Dec 14

vs Gilbert Burns · Nov 15

vs Beneil Dariush · Nov 16

vs Bobby Green · Apr 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rodrigo DammMetricRashid Magomedov

3.50

Strikes / min

4.40

5.61

Strikes absorbed / min

3.05

57%

Strike defense

54%

0.44

TDs / 15 min

0.67

80%

Takedown defense

89%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.11Δ 3.46 — meaningful gap+1.35

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Rodrigo DammRashid Magomedov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rodrigo Damm(7 fights)Rashid Magomedov(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -136.7|Blue +136.7

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red +1.5|Blue -1.5

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -14.0|Blue +14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rodrigo DammTargetRashid Magomedov

By target zone

20% acc · 38%

Head

28% acc · 41%

18% acc · 5%

Body

45% acc · 30%

95% acc · 57%

Leg

69% acc · 29%

By position

33% acc · 86%

Distance

37% acc · 89%

63% acc · 14%

Clinch

67% acc · 3%

Ground

71% acc · 8%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Rodrigo Damm rounds

even

Rashid Magomedov rounds

Round 1Rashid Magomedov edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:42Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Rashid Magomedov edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:18

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control1:30

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

37 / 104

Sig Strikes

63 / 161

36%

Sig Str %

39.7%

42 / 117

Total Strikes

66 / 164

0 / 4

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:48

Ctrl Time

0:42

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Rashid Magomedov	18 / 40	18 / 40	0 / 0
1	Rodrigo Damm	8 / 18	12 / 30	0 / 0
2	Rashid Magomedov	23 / 68	23 / 68	0 / 0
2	Rodrigo Damm	9 / 38	9 / 38	0 / 1
3	Rashid Magomedov	22 / 53	25 / 56	0 / 0
3	Rodrigo Damm	20 / 48	21 / 49	0 / 3

Rodrigo Damm

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights7

Rashid Magomedov

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights6