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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Rodrigo Damm won · U-DEC R3

Elo1354

Elo1490

Rodrigo DammvsIvan JorgeUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi · Saturday, February 15, 2014Jaragua do Sul, Santa Catarina, Brazil

Official fight result

Rodrigo Damm won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRodrigo Damm: Well-roundedvsIvan Jorge: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Ivan Jorge wins(64.7%)

Actual result: Rodrigo Damm wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ivan Jorge at -160 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Rodrigo Damm enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Rodrigo Damm

Red Corner

Ivan Jorge

Blue Corner

+150

(40%)

Vegas Odds

-160

(62%)

1354

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'9"

180.34 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rodrigo DammL3 streak

oldest →

vs Antonio Carvalho · Nov 12

vs Mizuto Hirota · Jun 13

vs Rashid Magomedov · May 14

KOvs Al Iaquinta · Sep 14

vs Evan Dunham · Jan 15

latest

Ivan Jorge

oldest →

vs Keith Wisniewski · Sep 13

vs Josh Shockley · Feb 15

SUBvs Joe Duffy · Jul 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rodrigo DammMetricIvan Jorge

3.50

Strikes / min

3.41

5.61

Strikes absorbed / min

2.91

57%

Strike defense

59%

0.44

TDs / 15 min

1.56

80%

Takedown defense

75%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.11Δ 2.61 — meaningful gap+0.50

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Rodrigo DammIvan Jorge

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rodrigo Damm(7 fights)Ivan Jorge(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -136.3|Blue +136.3

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +88.0|Blue -88.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rodrigo DammTargetIvan Jorge

By target zone

37% acc · 82%

Head

33% acc · 67%

33% acc · 4%

Body

63% acc · 19%

90% acc · 13%

Leg

75% acc · 14%

By position

39% acc · 90%

Distance

39% acc · 89%

57% acc · 6%

Clinch

47% acc · 11%

60% acc · 4%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Rodrigo Damm rounds

even

Ivan Jorge rounds

Round 1Ivan Jorge edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:00

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

Round 2Ivan Jorge edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:00

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Rodrigo Damm edged it

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns1

Control0:11

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:57Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

68 / 170

Sig Strikes

63 / 159

40.3%

Sig Str %

40.3%

69 / 171

Total Strikes

68 / 164

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 9

100%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:11

Ctrl Time

1:58

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Ivan Jorge	21 / 52	21 / 52	0 / 1	0
1	Rodrigo Damm	18 / 50	18 / 50	0 / 0	0
2	Ivan Jorge	24 / 68	24 / 68	0 / 1	0
2	Rodrigo Damm	22 / 69	22 / 69	0 / 0	0
3	Ivan Jorge	18 / 39	23 / 44	0 / 7	1
3	Rodrigo Damm	28 / 51	29 / 52	1 / 1	1

Rodrigo Damm

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights7

Ivan Jorge

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights4