← All fights/Event page

Middleweight

3 Rounds

Rodolfo Vieira won · U-DEC R3

Elo1483

Elo1506

Rodolfo VieiravsTresean GoreUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · Saturday, August 2, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Rodolfo Vieira won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRodolfo Vieira: WrestlervsTresean Gore: Submission grappler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Rodolfo Vieira wins(74.5%)

Actual result: Rodolfo Vieira wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Rodolfo Vieira at -235 American odds

+$43 profit

$143 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Rodolfo Vieira enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tresean Gore has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Tresean Gore (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Rodolfo Vieira

Red Corner

Tresean Gore

Blue Corner

-235

(70%)

Vegas Odds

+194

(34%)

1483

Elo

1506

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

6'0"

Height

6'0"

185.42 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rodolfo VieiraL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Cody Brundage · Apr 23

SUBvs Armen Petrosyan · Feb 24

vs Andre Petroski · Feb 25

KOvs Bo Nickal · Nov 25

DECvs Eric McConico · Apr 26

latest

Tresean Gore

oldest →

KOvs Cody Brundage · Jul 22

SUBvs Josh Fremd · Oct 22

SUBvs Antonio Trocoli · Nov 24

KOvs Marco Tulio · Apr 25

SUBvs Azamat Bekoev · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rodolfo VieiraMetricTresean Gore

3.43

Strikes / min

3.41

4.28

Strikes absorbed / min

7.00

49%

Strike defense

40%

2.87

TDs / 15 min

1.91

60%

Takedown defense

83%

0.90

Sub atts / 15 min

1.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.85Δ 2.74 — meaningful gap-3.59

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Rodolfo VieiraTresean Gore

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rodolfo Vieira(10 fights)Tresean Gore(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -22.7|Blue +22.7

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +56.0|Blue -56.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rodolfo VieiraTargetTresean Gore

By target zone

43% acc · 57%

Head

25% acc · 54%

88% acc · 25%

Body

40% acc · 10%

100% acc · 18%

Leg

94% acc · 37%

By position

56% acc · 98%

Distance

36% acc · 100%

50% acc · 2%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Rodolfo Vieira rounds

even

Tresean Gore rounds

Round 1Rodolfo Vieira edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns1

Control2:09

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Rodolfo Vieira edged it

Sig. strikes36

Takedowns0

Control0:19

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Round 3Rodolfo Vieira edged it

Sig. strikes38

Takedowns0

Control0:46

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

89 / 159

Sig Strikes

41 / 114

55.7%

Sig Str %

37%

96 / 169

Total Strikes

50 / 125

1 / 14

TDs

0 / 0

4.7%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

3:14

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Tresean Gore	11 / 25	13 / 27	0 / 0
1	Rodolfo Vieira	15 / 26	19 / 30	1 / 7
2	Tresean Gore	14 / 45	15 / 46	0 / 0
2	Rodolfo Vieira	36 / 66	36 / 66	0 / 3
3	Tresean Gore	16 / 44	22 / 52	0 / 0
3	Rodolfo Vieira	38 / 67	41 / 73	0 / 4

Rodolfo Vieira

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights11

Tresean Gore

StanceSwitch

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights8