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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Rodolfo Vieira won · SUB R2

Elo1483

Elo1385

Rodolfo VieiravsOskar PiechotaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · Saturday, August 10, 2019Montevideo, Uruguay

Official fight result

Rodolfo Vieira won

SUB · Round 2 · 4:26

Model Prediction: Oskar Piechota wins(50.2%)

Actual result: Rodolfo Vieira wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Oskar Piechota at +185 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Oskar Piechota enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Rodolfo Vieira threatens submissions; Oskar Piechota has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Rodolfo Vieira has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Oskar Piechota (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Rodolfo Vieira

Red Corner

Oskar Piechota

Blue Corner

-225

(69%)

Vegas Odds

+185

(35%)

1483

Elo

1385

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'0"

Height

6'0"

185.42 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rodolfo VieiraL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Armen Petrosyan · Feb 24

vs Andre Petroski · Feb 25

vs Tresean Gore · Aug 25

KOvs Bo Nickal · Nov 25

DECvs Eric McConico · Apr 26

latest

Oskar PiechotaL3 streak

oldest →

vs Jonathan Wilson · Oct 17

KOvs Tim Williams · Feb 18

SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Jul 18

KOvs Punahele Soriano · Dec 19

KOvs Marc-Andre Barriault · Jun 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rodolfo VieiraMetricOskar Piechota

3.43

Strikes / min

3.30

4.28

Strikes absorbed / min

3.93

49%

Strike defense

51%

2.87

TDs / 15 min

0.61

60%

Takedown defense

38%

0.90

Sub atts / 15 min

1.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.85evenly matched on net striking-0.63

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Rodolfo VieiraOskar Piechota

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rodolfo Vieira(10 fights)Oskar Piechota(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +97.9|Blue -97.9

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red +47.9|Blue -47.9

Grappler Score

Red +49.6|Blue -49.6

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rodolfo VieiraTargetOskar Piechota

By target zone

44% acc · 89%

Head

53% acc · 86%

50% acc · 6%

Body

43% acc · 14%

100% acc · 6%

Leg

By position

31% acc · 28%

Distance

30% acc · 36%

100% acc · 6%

Clinch

86% acc · 55%

55% acc · 67%

Ground

100% acc · 9%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Rodolfo Vieira rounds

even

Oskar Piechota rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns1

Control2:40

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Rodolfo Vieira edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns2

Control2:51

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

18 / 39

Sig Strikes

22 / 43

45.5%

Sig Str %

45.5%

37 / 62

Total Strikes

51 / 76

3 / 7

TDs

0 / 0

41.5%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

5:31

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Oskar Piechota	18 / 27	29 / 39	0 / 0	0
1	Rodolfo Vieira	10 / 21	18 / 31	1 / 3	0
2	Oskar Piechota	4 / 16	22 / 37	0 / 0	0
2	Rodolfo Vieira	8 / 18	19 / 31	2 / 4	1

Rodolfo Vieira

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights11

Oskar Piechota

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights6