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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Rodolfo Vieira won · SUB R1

Elo1483

Elo1484

Rodolfo VieiravsArmen PetrosyanUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · Saturday, February 10, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Rodolfo Vieira won

SUB · Round 1 · 4:48

Style matchupRodolfo Vieira: WrestlervsArmen Petrosyan: Striker

Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.

Model Prediction: Armen Petrosyan wins(53.8%)

Actual result: Rodolfo Vieira wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Armen Petrosyan at -115 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Rodolfo Vieira threatens submissions; Armen Petrosyan has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Rodolfo Vieira has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.

Tale of the Tape

Rodolfo Vieira

Red Corner

Armen Petrosyan

Blue Corner

-105

(51%)

Vegas Odds

-115

(53%)

1483

Elo

1484

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'3"

185.42 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rodolfo VieiraL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Cody Brundage · Apr 23

vs Andre Petroski · Feb 25

vs Tresean Gore · Aug 25

KOvs Bo Nickal · Nov 25

DECvs Eric McConico · Apr 26

latest

Armen PetrosyanL2 streak

oldest →

vs Caio Borralho · Jul 22

vs AJ Dobson · Oct 22

vs Christian Leroy Duncan · Jun 23

KOvs Shara Magomedov · Oct 24

SUBvs Brunno Ferreira · Mar 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rodolfo VieiraMetricArmen Petrosyan

3.43

Strikes / min

5.84

4.28

Strikes absorbed / min

3.31

49%

Strike defense

53%

2.87

TDs / 15 min

0.17

60%

Takedown defense

41%

0.90

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.85Δ 3.38 — meaningful gap+2.53

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Rodolfo VieiraArmen Petrosyan

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rodolfo Vieira(10 fights)Armen Petrosyan(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Layoff

Red +49.0|Blue -49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rodolfo VieiraTargetArmen Petrosyan

By target zone

67% acc · 67%

Head

10% acc · 11%

0% acc

Body

33% acc · 11%

67% acc · 33%

Leg

100% acc · 78%

By position

55% acc · 100%

Distance

45% acc · 100%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Rodolfo Vieira rounds

even

Armen Petrosyan rounds

Round 1Rodolfo Vieira edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns3

Control2:46

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

6 / 11

Sig Strikes

9 / 20

54%

Sig Str %

45%

14 / 21

Total Strikes

14 / 25

3 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

2:46

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Armen Petrosyan	9 / 20	14 / 25	0 / 0	0
1	Rodolfo Vieira	6 / 11	14 / 21	3 / 3	1

Rodolfo Vieira

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights11

Armen Petrosyan

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights7