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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Anthony Hernandez won · SUB

Elo1483

Elo1530

Anthony Hernandez editorial illustration

Rodolfo VieiravsAnthony HernandezUFC Prediction Result

UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns · Saturday, February 13, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Anthony Hernandez won

SUB

Style matchupRodolfo Vieira: WrestlervsAnthony Hernandez: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Rodolfo Vieira wins(52.4%)

Actual result: Anthony Hernandez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Rodolfo Vieira at -487 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Rodolfo Vieira threatens submissions; Anthony Hernandez has lost 33% of fights by sub.

Tale of the Tape

Rodolfo Vieira

Red Corner

Anthony Hernandez

Blue Corner

-487

(83%)

Vegas Odds

+365

(22%)

1483

Elo

1530

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'0"

185.42 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rodolfo VieiraL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Armen Petrosyan · Feb 24

vs Andre Petroski · Feb 25

vs Tresean Gore · Aug 25

KOvs Bo Nickal · Nov 25

DECvs Eric McConico · Apr 26

latest

Anthony Hernandez

oldest →

SUBvs Roman Kopylov · Feb 24

KOvs Michel Pereira · Oct 24

vs Brendan Allen · Feb 25

SUBvs Roman Dolidze · Aug 25

KOvs Sean Strickland · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rodolfo VieiraMetricAnthony Hernandez

3.43

Strikes / min

4.57

4.28

Strikes absorbed / min

3.10

49%

Strike defense

51%

2.87

TDs / 15 min

5.88

60%

Takedown defense

68%

0.90

Sub atts / 15 min

1.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.85Δ 2.32 — meaningful gap+1.47

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Rodolfo VieiraAnthony Hernandez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rodolfo Vieira(10 fights)Anthony Hernandez(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -46.9|Blue +46.9

Recent Form

Red +1.4|Blue -1.4

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +70.0|Blue -70.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rodolfo VieiraTargetAnthony Hernandez

By target zone

35% acc · 100%

Head

62% acc · 88%

Body

80% acc · 13%

Leg

By position

33% acc · 78%

Distance

61% acc · 88%

100% acc · 22%

Clinch

100% acc · 13%

0% acc

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Rodolfo Vieira rounds

even

Anthony Hernandez rounds

Round 1Rodolfo Vieira edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns3

Control3:29

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:37Control

Round 2Anthony Hernandez edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns1

Control0:31

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:48Control

Fight Stats

Totals

9 / 26

Sig Strikes

32 / 50

31.5%

Sig Str %

64%

14 / 32

Total Strikes

50 / 73

4 / 10

TDs

0 / 0

43.5%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

4:00

Ctrl Time

1:25

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Anthony Hernandez	19 / 30	25 / 39	0 / 0	1
1	Rodolfo Vieira	7 / 17	12 / 23	3 / 8	0
2	Anthony Hernandez	13 / 20	25 / 34	0 / 0	1
2	Rodolfo Vieira	2 / 9	2 / 9	1 / 2	0

Rodolfo Vieira

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights11

Anthony Hernandez

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights12