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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Rodolfo Bellato won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1515

Elo1479

Rodolfo BellatovsIhor PotieriaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · Saturday, December 2, 2023Austin, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Rodolfo Bellato won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:17

Style matchupRodolfo Bellato: Pressure fightervsIhor Potieria: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Rodolfo Bellato wins(68.3%)

Actual result: Rodolfo Bellato wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ihor Potieria enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Rodolfo Bellato is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Ihor Potieria has lost 67% of fights by KO.
Rodolfo Bellato has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Ihor Potieria (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Rodolfo Bellato

Red Corner

Ihor Potieria

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1515

Elo

1479

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'3"

Height

6'3"

190.5 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rodolfo Bellato

oldest →

vs Jimmy Crute · Feb 25

vs Paul Craig · Jun 25

vs Navajo Stirling · Sep 25

KOvs Luke Fernandez · Mar 26

latest

Ihor PotieriaL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Carlos Ulberg · May 23

vs Robert Bryczek · Feb 24

SUBvs Michel Pereira · May 24

vs Cesar Almeida · Oct 24

KOvs Marco Tulio · Jan 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rodolfo BellatoMetricIhor Potieria

5.37

Strikes / min

4.44

5.86

Strikes absorbed / min

4.96

46%

Strike defense

50%

1.38

TDs / 15 min

0.73

94%

Takedown defense

66%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.49evenly matched on net striking-0.52

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Rodolfo BellatoIhor Potieria

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rodolfo Bellato(4 fights)Ihor Potieria(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +35.7|Blue -35.7

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red +49.5|Blue -49.5

Grappler Score

Red +50.0|Blue -50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rodolfo BellatoTargetIhor Potieria

By target zone

60% acc · 88%

Head

52% acc · 79%

75% acc · 11%

Body

90% acc · 12%

33% acc · 1%

Leg

100% acc · 8%

By position

39% acc · 23%

Distance

52% acc · 52%

79% acc · 14%

Clinch

57% acc · 16%

72% acc · 64%

Ground

70% acc · 32%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Rodolfo Bellato rounds

even

Ihor Potieria rounds

Round 1Ihor Potieria edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control1:07

37Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Rodolfo Bellato edged it

Sig. strikes62

Takedowns1

Control1:42

Knockdowns0

36Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:41Control

1Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

80 / 131

Sig Strikes

73 / 127

55.5%

Sig Str %

57.5%

99 / 160

Total Strikes

92 / 153

1 / 4

TDs

0 / 0

25%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

2:49

Ctrl Time

1:41

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ihor Potieria	37 / 69	42 / 74	0 / 0
1	Rodolfo Bellato	18 / 43	27 / 54	0 / 2
2	Ihor Potieria	36 / 58	50 / 79	0 / 0
2	Rodolfo Bellato	62 / 88	72 / 106	1 / 2

Rodolfo Bellato

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights5

Ihor Potieria

StanceSouthpaw

Height75.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights8