Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Jared Hamman won · U-DEC R3

Elo1351

Elo1352

Rodney WallacevsJared HammanUFC Prediction Result

UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy · Saturday, March 27, 2010Newark, New Jersey, USA

Official fight result

Jared Hamman won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRodney Wallace: WrestlervsJared Hamman: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Rodney Wallace wins(80.4%)

Actual result: Jared Hamman wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Rodney Wallace at -160 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jared Hamman enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Jared Hamman has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Rodney Wallace (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Rodney Wallace

Red Corner

Jared Hamman

Blue Corner

-160

(62%)

Vegas Odds

+140

(42%)

1351

Elo

1352

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

6'3"

182.88 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rodney Wallace

oldest →

vs Phil Davis · Aug 10

latest

Jared HammanL3 streak

oldest →

vs Kyle Kingsbury · Sep 10

KOvs CB Dollaway · Aug 11

KOvs Costas Philippou · Dec 11

KOvs Michael Kuiper · Aug 12

SUBvs Magnus Cedenblad · Aug 13

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rodney WallaceMetricJared Hamman

1.13

Strikes / min

5.15

3.44

Strikes absorbed / min

3.93

45%

Strike defense

55%

6.00

TDs / 15 min

1.57

28%

Takedown defense

30%

1.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.31Δ 3.53 — meaningful gap+1.22

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Rodney WallaceJared Hamman

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rodney Wallace(2 fights)Jared Hamman(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -1.6|Blue +1.6

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rodney WallaceTargetJared Hamman

By target zone

50% acc · 91%

Head

38% acc · 63%

75% acc · 9%

Body

90% acc · 32%

Leg

100% acc · 5%

By position

50% acc · 44%

Distance

17% acc · 8%

63% acc · 35%

Clinch

44% acc · 18%

41% acc · 21%

Ground

64% acc · 73%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Rodney Wallace rounds

even

Jared Hamman rounds

Round 1Rodney Wallace edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns6

Control3:12

Knockdowns0

16Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:49Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Jared Hamman edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns3

Control1:44

22Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:41Control

Round 3Jared Hamman edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns2

Control0:23

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

3:36Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

34 / 66

Sig Strikes

60 / 124

44.7%

Sig Str %

47.7%

47 / 84

Total Strikes

176 / 250

11 / 13

TDs

2 / 2

91.7%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

5:19

Ctrl Time

7:06

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jared Hamman	16 / 35	48 / 69	1 / 1	0
1	Rodney Wallace	24 / 42	30 / 48	6 / 8	0
2	Jared Hamman	22 / 42	70 / 93	1 / 1	0
2	Rodney Wallace	2 / 6	9 / 17	3 / 3	0
3	Jared Hamman	22 / 47	58 / 88	0 / 0	0
3	Rodney Wallace	8 / 18	8 / 19	2 / 2	1

Rodney Wallace

StanceSwitch

Height69.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights2

Jared Hamman

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights6