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Flyweight
3 Rounds
Jarred Brooks won · Decision R3
Elo1491
Roberto Sanchez
Elo1491
Jarred Brooks

Roberto SanchezvsJarred BrooksUFC Prediction Result

UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · Saturday, September 8, 2018Dallas, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Jarred Brooks won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Roberto Sanchez wins(52.0%)

Actual result: Jarred Brooks wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Roberto Sanchez at +175 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Jarred Brooks (52.9%).
  • Roberto Sanchez has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Roberto Sanchez
Red Corner
VS
Jarred Brooks
Blue Corner
+175
(36%)
Vegas Odds
-190
(66%)
1491
Elo
1491
32
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'6"
Height
5'3"
167.64 cm
Reach
157.48 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Roberto Sanchez
oldest →
L
SUBvs Joseph Morales · Aug 17
W
SUBvs Joby Sanchez · Feb 18
latest
Jarred BrooksL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Eric Shelton · Jul 17
L
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Oct 17
L
KOvs Jose Torres · Jun 18
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Roberto SanchezMetricJarred Brooks
—
Strikes / min
2.12
—
Strikes absorbed / min
1.66
—
Strike defense
62%
—
TDs / 15 min
4.54
—
Takedown defense
69%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1483Strikes2.0 vs 29.3Takedowns2.0 vs 4.7Sub Atts0.50 vs 0.33Form0.3 vs -0.6
Roberto SanchezJarred Brooks

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Roberto Sanchez(3 fights)Jarred Brooks(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Recent Form
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Grappler Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff
Red +103.0|Blue -103.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Roberto Sanchez

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights2

Jarred Brooks

StanceSwitch
Height63.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights4