← All fights/Event page

Middleweight

5 Rounds

Robert Whittaker won · S-DEC R5

Elo1511

Elo1382

Robert WhittakervsYoel RomeroUFC Prediction Result

UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · Saturday, June 9, 2018Chicago, Illinois, USA

Official fight result

Robert Whittaker won

S-DEC · Round 5 · 5:00

Style matchupRobert Whittaker: Well-roundedvsYoel Romero: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Yoel Romero wins(51.8%)

Actual result: Robert Whittaker wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Yoel Romero at +235 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Yoel Romero (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Robert Whittaker

Red Corner

Yoel Romero

Blue Corner

-275

(73%)

Vegas Odds

+235

(30%)

1511

Elo

1382

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'0"

Height

6'0"

185.42 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Robert Whittaker

oldest →

vs Paulo Costa · Feb 24

KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Jun 24

SUBvs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 24

vs Reinier de Ridder · Jul 25

KOvs Nikita Krylov · Jul 26

latest

Yoel RomeroL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Chris Weidman · Nov 16

vs Robert Whittaker · Jul 17

KOvs Luke Rockhold · Feb 18

vs Paulo Costa · Aug 19

vs Israel Adesanya · Mar 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Robert WhittakerMetricYoel Romero

4.39

Strikes / min

3.44

3.36

Strikes absorbed / min

3.05

59%

Strike defense

60%

0.73

TDs / 15 min

1.57

82%

Takedown defense

78%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.03evenly matched on net striking+0.39

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Robert WhittakerYoel Romero

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Robert Whittaker(10 fights)Yoel Romero(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +129.5|Blue -129.5

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +217.0|Blue -217.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Robert WhittakerTargetYoel Romero

By target zone

25% acc · 45%

Head

39% acc · 68%

59% acc · 18%

Body

70% acc · 17%

77% acc · 38%

Leg

84% acc · 14%

By position

119

39% acc · 93%

Distance

37% acc · 59%

53% acc · 7%

Clinch

63% acc · 23%

0% acc

Ground

87% acc · 18%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Robert Whittaker rounds

even

Yoel Romero rounds

Round 1Robert Whittaker edged it

Sig. strikes33

Takedowns0

Control0:00

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Robert Whittaker edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns0

Control0:00

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Yoel Romero edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:37

Knockdowns0

36Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:11Control

1Knockdowns

Round 4Robert Whittaker edged it

Sig. strikes34

Takedowns0

Control0:00

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 5Yoel Romero edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

26Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:10Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

128 / 326

Sig Strikes

111 / 240

40.2%

Sig Str %

44.8%

129 / 328

Total Strikes

149 / 287

0 / 1

TDs

3 / 10

TD %

22%

Sub Att

Rev

0:37

Ctrl Time

4:21

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Yoel Romero	9 / 24	9 / 24	0 / 0
1	Robert Whittaker	33 / 85	33 / 85	0 / 0
2	Yoel Romero	20 / 48	20 / 48	0 / 1
2	Robert Whittaker	29 / 77	29 / 77	0 / 0
3	Yoel Romero	36 / 77	54 / 97	2 / 6
3	Robert Whittaker	18 / 42	19 / 43	0 / 0
4	Robert Whittaker	34 / 93	34 / 94	0 / 0
4	Yoel Romero	20 / 44	20 / 44	0 / 0
5	Yoel Romero	26 / 47	46 / 74	1 / 3
5	Robert Whittaker	14 / 29	14 / 29	0 / 1

Robert Whittaker

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights26

Yoel Romero

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights13