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Elo1511
Robert Whittaker editorial illustration
Elo1485
Nikita Krylov editorial illustration

Robert WhittakervsNikita KrylovUFC Prediction

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · Saturday, July 11, 2026Las Vegas, USA

Fight begins in
Style matchupRobert Whittaker: Well-roundedvsNikita Krylov: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

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Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Robert Whittaker has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Robert Whittaker has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Nikita Krylov has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Robert Whittaker
Red Corner
VS
Nikita Krylov
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1511
Elo
1485
35
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'3"
185.42 cm
Reach
195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Robert Whittaker
oldest →
W
vs Paulo Costa · Feb 24
W
KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Jun 24
L
SUBvs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 24
L
vs Reinier de Ridder · Jul 25
W
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Jul 26
latest
Nikita Krylov
oldest →
W
SUBvs Ryan Spann · Mar 23
L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Apr 25
L
KOvs Bogdan Guskov · Jul 25
W
KOvs Modestas Bukauskas · Jan 26
L
KOvs Robert Whittaker · Jul 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Robert WhittakerMetricNikita Krylov
4.39
Strikes / min
4.36
3.36
Strikes absorbed / min
2.59
59%
Strike defense
47%
0.73
TDs / 15 min
2.05
82%
Takedown defense
53%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.03evenly matched on net striking+1.77
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701485150015151530← oldermost recent →
Robert Whittaker(10 fights)Nikita Krylov(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +25.7|Blue -25.7
Recent Form
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Grappler Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff
Red +182.0|Blue -182.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: KO / TKO.

KO / TKO60%

Historical win share: Nikita Krylov earned 42% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission35%

Historical win share: Nikita Krylov earned 42% of wins by submission.

Decision4%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Robert Whittaker

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights26

Nikita Krylov

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights23