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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Robert Whittaker won · U-DEC R3

Elo1511

Elo1354

Robert WhittakervsMike RhodesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt · Saturday, June 28, 2014Auckland, New Zealand

Official fight result

Robert Whittaker won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRobert Whittaker: Well-roundedvsMike Rhodes: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Mike Rhodes wins(58.4%)

Actual result: Robert Whittaker wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mike Rhodes at +230 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Robert Whittaker

Red Corner

Mike Rhodes

Blue Corner

-250

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+230

(30%)

1511

Elo

1354

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'1"

185.42 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Robert Whittaker

oldest →

vs Paulo Costa · Feb 24

KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Jun 24

SUBvs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 24

vs Reinier de Ridder · Jul 25

KOvs Nikita Krylov · Jul 26

latest

Mike RhodesL2 streak

oldest →

vs George Sullivan · Jan 14

SUBvs Erick Silva · Dec 14

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Robert WhittakerMetricMike Rhodes

4.39

Strikes / min

3.20

3.36

Strikes absorbed / min

4.13

59%

Strike defense

64%

0.73

TDs / 15 min

0.96

82%

Takedown defense

75%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.03Δ 1.96 — meaningful gap-0.93

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Robert WhittakerMike Rhodes

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Robert Whittaker(10 fights)Mike Rhodes(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +157.1|Blue -157.1

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red +3.4|Blue -3.4

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -28.0|Blue +28.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Robert WhittakerTargetMike Rhodes

By target zone

28% acc · 70%

Head

22% acc · 53%

100% acc · 15%

Body

50% acc · 9%

100% acc · 15%

Leg

78% acc · 38%

By position

35% acc · 94%

Distance

31% acc · 94%

75% acc · 5%

Clinch

75% acc · 6%

50% acc · 2%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Robert Whittaker rounds

even

Mike Rhodes rounds

Round 1Robert Whittaker edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:00

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:16Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:00

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:21Control

Round 3Robert Whittaker edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns1

Control2:22

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

66 / 183

Sig Strikes

47 / 146

36%

Sig Str %

30.7%

93 / 213

Total Strikes

52 / 153

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 2

100%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

2:22

Ctrl Time

0:37

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Mike Rhodes	10 / 46	11 / 47	0 / 1
1	Robert Whittaker	24 / 64	24 / 64	0 / 0
2	Mike Rhodes	24 / 59	24 / 59	0 / 1
2	Robert Whittaker	24 / 72	25 / 73	0 / 0
3	Mike Rhodes	13 / 41	17 / 47	0 / 0
3	Robert Whittaker	18 / 47	44 / 76	1 / 1

Robert Whittaker

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights26

Mike Rhodes

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights3