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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Robert Whittaker won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1511

Elo1357

Robert WhittakervsClint HesterUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping · Friday, November 7, 2014Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

Official fight result

Robert Whittaker won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 2:43

Style matchupRobert Whittaker: Well-roundedvsClint Hester: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Clint Hester wins(58.1%)

Actual result: Robert Whittaker wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Clint Hester at -185 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Robert Whittaker has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Clint Hester has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Robert Whittaker

Red Corner

Clint Hester

Blue Corner

+170

(37%)

Vegas Odds

-185

(65%)

1511

Elo

1357

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'2"

185.42 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Robert Whittaker

oldest →

vs Paulo Costa · Feb 24

KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Jun 24

SUBvs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 24

vs Reinier de Ridder · Jul 25

KOvs Nikita Krylov · Jul 26

latest

Clint HesterL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Dylan Andrews · Dec 13

vs Andy Enz · Feb 14

vs Antonio Braga Neto · Jun 14

KOvs Vitor Miranda · Aug 15

SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Apr 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Robert WhittakerMetricClint Hester

4.39

Strikes / min

3.36

Strikes absorbed / min

3.44

59%

Strike defense

56%

0.73

TDs / 15 min

1.02

82%

Takedown defense

60%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.03Δ 1.11 — meaningful gap-0.08

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Robert WhittakerClint Hester

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Robert Whittaker(10 fights)Clint Hester(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +154.3|Blue -154.3

Recent Form

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Striker Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Robert WhittakerTargetClint Hester

By target zone

41% acc · 71%

Head

40% acc · 75%

71% acc · 10%

Body

75% acc · 11%

82% acc · 18%

Leg

80% acc · 14%

By position

45% acc · 71%

Distance

41% acc · 75%

33% acc · 4%

Clinch

80% acc · 14%

57% acc · 24%

Ground

60% acc · 11%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Robert Whittaker rounds

even

Clint Hester rounds

Round 1Robert Whittaker edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns1

Control2:15

Knockdowns1

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:18Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Robert Whittaker edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:03

Knockdowns1

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:27Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

49 / 104

Sig Strikes

28 / 61

46.5%

Sig Str %

43.5%

54 / 110

Total Strikes

29 / 62

1 / 2

TDs

0 / 3

50%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

2:18

Ctrl Time

0:45

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Clint Hester	8 / 24	8 / 24	0 / 2
1	Robert Whittaker	26 / 56	29 / 60	1 / 1
2	Clint Hester	20 / 37	21 / 38	0 / 1
2	Robert Whittaker	23 / 48	25 / 50	0 / 1

Robert Whittaker

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights26

Clint Hester

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights7