Featherweight

3 Rounds

Robert Peralta won · U-DEC R3

Elo1354

Elo1351

Robert PeraltavsMike LulloUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · Saturday, September 17, 2011New Orleans, Louisiana, USA

Official fight result

Robert Peralta won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Mike Lullo wins(71.5%)

Actual result: Robert Peralta wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mike Lullo at +120 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Robert Peralta is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Mike Lullo has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Robert Peralta has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Robert Peralta has 65pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Robert Peralta

Red Corner

Mike Lullo

Blue Corner

-130

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+120

(45%)

1354

Elo

1351

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'8"

180.34 cm

Reach

178 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Robert PeraltaL2 streak

oldest →

vs Akira Corassani · Apr 13

KOvs Estevan Payan · Dec 13

vs Rony Jason · May 14

SUBvs Thiago Tavares · Aug 14

vs Clay Guida · Apr 15

latest

Mike Lullo

oldest →

KOvs Edson Barboza · Nov 10

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Robert PeraltaMetricMike Lullo

3.76

Strikes / min

2.48

2.97

Strikes absorbed / min

4.84

53%

Strike defense

40%

0.59

TDs / 15 min

1.18

65%

Takedown defense

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.79Δ 3.15 — meaningful gap-2.36

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Robert PeraltaMike Lullo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Robert Peralta(7 fights)Mike Lullo(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +3.3|Blue -3.3

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red +50.0|Blue -50.0

Grappler Score

Red +50.0|Blue -50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Robert PeraltaTargetMike Lullo

By target zone

27% acc · 25%

Head

10% acc · 14%

96% acc · 30%

Body

60% acc · 18%

92% acc · 45%

Leg

80% acc · 69%

By position

52% acc · 76%

Distance

31% acc · 67%

95% acc · 24%

Clinch

81% acc · 33%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Robert Peralta rounds

even

Mike Lullo rounds

Round 1Robert Peralta edged it

Sig. strikes40

Takedowns1

Control0:21

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Robert Peralta edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:00

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:51Control

Round 3Mike Lullo edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:17

16Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:57Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

80 / 137

Sig Strikes

51 / 129

57%

Sig Str %

43%

109 / 169

Total Strikes

57 / 135

1 / 1

TDs

2 / 13

100%

TD %

11%

Sub Att

Rev

0:38

Ctrl Time

4:48

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Mike Lullo	20 / 65	21 / 66	0 / 1
1	Robert Peralta	40 / 64	47 / 72	1 / 1
2	Mike Lullo	15 / 37	16 / 38	0 / 6
2	Robert Peralta	23 / 41	30 / 48	0 / 0
3	Mike Lullo	16 / 27	20 / 31	2 / 6
3	Robert Peralta	17 / 32	32 / 49	0 / 0

Robert Peralta

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights7

Mike Lullo

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach—

Fights2