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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Ihor Potieria won · U-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1479

Robert BryczekvsIhor PotieriaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · Saturday, February 10, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Ihor Potieria won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRobert Bryczek: Well-roundedvsIhor Potieria: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Ihor Potieria wins(69.5%)

Actual result: Ihor Potieria wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ihor Potieria at +190 American odds

+$190 profit

$290 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ihor Potieria enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Robert Bryczek is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Ihor Potieria has lost 67% of fights by KO.
Stance matchup historically favors Ihor Potieria (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Robert Bryczek

Red Corner

Ihor Potieria

Blue Corner

-230

(70%)

Vegas Odds

+190

(34%)

1490

Elo

1479

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'0"

Height

6'3"

190.5 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Robert Bryczek

oldest →

KOvs Brad Tavares · Sep 25

DECvs Cam Rowston · May 26

latest

Ihor PotieriaL5 streak

oldest →

KOvs Carlos Ulberg · May 23

KOvs Rodolfo Bellato · Dec 23

SUBvs Michel Pereira · May 24

vs Cesar Almeida · Oct 24

KOvs Marco Tulio · Jan 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Robert BryczekMetricIhor Potieria

2.80

Strikes / min

4.44

4.51

Strikes absorbed / min

4.96

55%

Strike defense

50%

0.36

TDs / 15 min

0.73

71%

Takedown defense

66%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.71Δ 1.19 — meaningful gap-0.52

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Robert BryczekIhor Potieria

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Robert Bryczek(3 fights)Ihor Potieria(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +10.1|Blue -10.1

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red +49.5|Blue -49.5

Grappler Score

Red +50.0|Blue -50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Robert BryczekTargetIhor Potieria

By target zone

18% acc · 59%

Head

34% acc · 70%

42% acc · 31%

Body

42% acc · 7%

50% acc · 9%

Leg

88% acc · 22%

By position

24% acc · 94%

Distance

39% acc · 91%

33% acc · 6%

Clinch

50% acc · 9%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Robert Bryczek rounds

even

Ihor Potieria rounds

Round 1Ihor Potieria edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:00

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:59Control

Round 2Ihor Potieria edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:00

28Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Ihor Potieria edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:30

Knockdowns0

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:38Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

32 / 133

Sig Strikes

67 / 168

24.7%

Sig Str %

39%

41 / 143

Total Strikes

77 / 181

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 4

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:30

Ctrl Time

2:37

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ihor Potieria	14 / 41	22 / 51	0 / 1
1	Robert Bryczek	12 / 35	16 / 40	0 / 0
2	Ihor Potieria	28 / 62	28 / 62	0 / 2
2	Robert Bryczek	12 / 56	12 / 56	0 / 0
3	Ihor Potieria	25 / 65	27 / 68	0 / 1
3	Robert Bryczek	8 / 42	13 / 47	0 / 0

Robert Bryczek

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights2

Ihor Potieria

StanceSouthpaw

Height75.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights8