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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Lucas Martins won · Decision R3
Elo1357
Elo1490
Lucas Martins

Rob WhitefordvsLucas MartinsUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos · Sunday, April 10, 2016Zagreb, Croatia

Official fight result

Lucas Martins won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Lucas Martins wins(59.5%)

Actual result: Lucas Martins wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Lucas Martins at -110 American odds

+$91 profit

$191 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Rob Whiteford is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Lucas Martins has lost 67% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Rob Whiteford
Red Corner
VS
Lucas Martins
Blue Corner
-110
(52%)
Vegas Odds
-110
(52%)
1357
Elo
1490
32
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
6'0"
175.26 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rob Whiteford
oldest →
L
SUBvs Jimy Hettes · Oct 13
W
DECvs Daniel Pineda · Mar 14
W
KOvs Paul Redmond · Jul 15
L
DECvs Darren Elkins · Oct 15
latest
Lucas MartinsL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Jeremy Larsen · May 13
W
SUBvs Junior Hernandez · Sep 13
W
KOvs Alex White · Jul 14
L
vs Darren Elkins · Oct 14
L
KOvs Mirsad Bektic · May 15
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rob WhitefordMetricLucas Martins
—
Strikes / min
2.87
—
Strikes absorbed / min
4.14
—
Strike defense
60%
—
TDs / 15 min
0.00
—
Takedown defense
76%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1502 vs 1504Strikes21.0 vs 24.5Takedowns1.5 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.33Form-0.1 vs -0.3
Rob WhitefordLucas Martins

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Rob Whiteford(5 fights)Lucas Martins(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -133.8|Blue +133.8
Recent Form
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red -147.0|Blue +147.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Rob Whiteford

StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights2

Lucas Martins

StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights7