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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Rob Kimmons won · U-DEC R3

Elo1351

Elo1490

Rob KimmonsvsSteve SteinbeissUFC Prediction Result

UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · Sunday, August 1, 2010San Diego, California, USA

Official fight result

Rob Kimmons won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRob Kimmons: WrestlervsSteve Steinbeiss: Striker

Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.

Model Prediction: Rob Kimmons wins(69.6%)

Actual result: Rob Kimmons wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Rob Kimmons at -195 American odds

+$51 profit

$151 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Steve Steinbeiss has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Steve Steinbeiss has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.

Tale of the Tape

Rob Kimmons

Red Corner

Steve Steinbeiss

Blue Corner

-195

(66%)

Vegas Odds

+168

(37%)

1351

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

6'3"

185.42 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rob KimmonsL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Kyle Noke · Nov 10

KOvs Dongi Yang · Mar 11

latest

Steve SteinbeissNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rob KimmonsMetricSteve Steinbeiss

1.86

Strikes / min

3.92

4.79

Strikes absorbed / min

1.86

38%

Strike defense

49%

2.08

TDs / 15 min

0.44

25%

Takedown defense

58%

2.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.93Δ 4.99 — meaningful gap+2.06

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Rob KimmonsSteve Steinbeiss

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rob Kimmons(3 fights)Steve Steinbeiss(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -139.1|Blue +139.1

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rob KimmonsTargetSteve Steinbeiss

By target zone

51% acc · 53%

Head

33% acc · 19%

65% acc · 39%

Body

85% acc · 71%

100% acc · 8%

Leg

90% acc · 11%

By position

27% acc · 16%

Distance

39% acc · 24%

70% acc · 55%

Clinch

83% acc · 76%

85% acc · 29%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Rob Kimmons rounds

even

Steve Steinbeiss rounds

Round 1Steve Steinbeiss edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:52

44Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

3:00Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns3

Control3:03

26Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:00Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns1

Control2:55

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:04Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

38 / 65

Sig Strikes

85 / 129

58.3%

Sig Str %

66.3%

126 / 167

Total Strikes

148 / 193

4 / 8

TDs

0 / 1

58.3%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

6:50

Ctrl Time

5:04

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Steve Steinbeiss	44 / 71	73 / 100	0 / 0	0
1	Rob Kimmons	15 / 23	52 / 60	0 / 3	0
2	Steve Steinbeiss	26 / 34	42 / 50	0 / 1	0
2	Rob Kimmons	13 / 25	34 / 55	3 / 4	1
3	Steve Steinbeiss	15 / 24	33 / 43	0 / 0	0
3	Rob Kimmons	10 / 17	40 / 52	1 / 1	1

Rob Kimmons

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights3

Steve Steinbeiss

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights1