Skip to content
Middleweight
3 Rounds
Dongi Yang won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1351
Rob Kimmons
Elo1490

Rob KimmonsvsDongi YangUFC Prediction Result

UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · Thursday, March 3, 2011Louisville, Kentucky, USA

Official fight result

Dongi Yang won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:47

Style matchupRob Kimmons: WrestlervsDongi Yang: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Dongi Yang wins(53.3%)

Actual result: Dongi Yang wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dongi Yang at -225 American odds

+$44 profit

$144 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Dongi Yang is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Rob Kimmons has lost 50% of fights by KO.
  • Dongi Yang has 25pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Dongi Yang has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Dongi Yang (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Rob Kimmons
Red Corner
VS
Dongi Yang
Blue Corner
+185
(35%)
Vegas Odds
-225
(69%)
1351
Elo
1490
45
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'10"
185.42 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rob Kimmons
oldest →
W
vs Steve Steinbeiss · Aug 10
L
SUBvs Kyle Noke · Nov 10
latest
Dongi Yang
oldest →
L
vs Chris Camozzi · Oct 10
L
vs Court McGee · Sep 11
L
vs Brad Tavares · May 12
W
KOvs Jake Collier · Nov 15
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rob KimmonsMetricDongi Yang
1.86
Strikes / min
3.55
4.79
Strikes absorbed / min
3.21
38%
Strike defense
63%
2.08
TDs / 15 min
1.70
25%
Takedown defense
61%
2.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.93Δ 3.27 — meaningful gap+0.34

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1482Strikes15.5 vs 51.0Takedowns1.0 vs 3.0Sub Atts1.33 vs 0.00Form-0.1 vs -1.0
Rob KimmonsDongi Yang

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Rob Kimmons(3 fights)Dongi Yang(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -139.5|Blue +139.5
Recent Form
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Grappler Score
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff
Red -21.0|Blue +21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rob KimmonsTargetDongi Yang

By target zone

1
7% acc · 100%
Head
46
77% acc · 81%
0
Body
9
100% acc · 16%
0
Leg
2
100% acc · 4%

By position

1
8% acc · 100%
Distance
8
57% acc · 14%
0
0% acc
Clinch
0
0
0% acc
Ground
49
86% acc · 86%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Rob Kimmons rounds
0
even
2
Dongi Yang rounds
Round 1Dongi Yang edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:01
Knockdowns0
21Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:15Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Dongi Yang edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns1
Control0:19
36Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:56Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
1 / 15
Sig Strikes
57 / 71
5%
Sig Str %
83%
19 / 33
Total Strikes
145 / 181
1 / 1
TDs
1 / 1
100%
TD %
100%
0
Sub Att
2
0
Rev
1
0:20
Ctrl Time
8:11

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Dongi Yang21 / 2368 / 761 / 12
1Rob Kimmons1 / 103 / 120 / 00
2Dongi Yang36 / 4877 / 1050 / 00
2Rob Kimmons0 / 516 / 211 / 10

Rob Kimmons

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights3

Dongi Yang

StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights5