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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Rob Font won · U-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1492

Rob FontvsSergio PettisUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · Saturday, December 15, 2018Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA

Official fight result

Rob Font won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRob Font: Pressure fightervsSergio Pettis: Elusive striker

The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.

Model Prediction: Sergio Pettis wins(57.0%)

Actual result: Rob Font wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sergio Pettis at +145 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Sergio Pettis has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Rob Font

Red Corner

Sergio Pettis

Blue Corner

-165

(62%)

Vegas Odds

+145

(41%)

1490

Elo

1492

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'6"

180.34 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rob FontL2 streak

oldest →

vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Dec 23

vs Kyler Phillips · Oct 24

vs Jean Matsumoto · Feb 25

vs David Martinez · Sep 25

vs Raul Rosas Jr. · Mar 26

latest

Sergio Pettis

oldest →

vs Brandon Moreno · Aug 17

vs Henry Cejudo · Dec 17

vs Joseph Benavidez · Jun 18

vs Jussier Formiga · Oct 18

vs Tyson Nam · Sep 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rob FontMetricSergio Pettis

5.11

Strikes / min

3.88

3.53

Strikes absorbed / min

2.91

57%

Strike defense

65%

0.70

TDs / 15 min

0.85

37%

Takedown defense

67%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.58evenly matched on net striking+0.97

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Rob FontSergio Pettis

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rob Font(10 fights)Sergio Pettis(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -1.8|Blue +1.8

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -1.6|Blue +1.6

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red +91.0|Blue -91.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rob FontTargetSergio Pettis

By target zone

37% acc · 71%

Head

32% acc · 75%

89% acc · 23%

Body

78% acc · 10%

100% acc · 6%

Leg

100% acc · 15%

By position

102

45% acc · 92%

Distance

39% acc · 100%

100% acc · 1%

Clinch

42% acc · 7%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Rob Font rounds

even

Sergio Pettis rounds

Round 1Rob Font edged it

Sig. strikes48

Takedowns1

Control1:29

26Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Rob Font edged it

Sig. strikes37

Takedowns0

Control0:23

27Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:16Control

Round 3Rob Font edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns1

Control2:57

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

111 / 247

Sig Strikes

71 / 185

45.3%

Sig Str %

38%

118 / 255

Total Strikes

88 / 206

2 / 4

TDs

1 / 2

66.7%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

4:49

Ctrl Time

0:16

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Sergio Pettis	26 / 65	32 / 73	0 / 1	0
1	Rob Font	48 / 111	50 / 113	1 / 1	0
2	Sergio Pettis	27 / 73	27 / 73	1 / 1	0
2	Rob Font	37 / 82	37 / 82	0 / 2	1
3	Sergio Pettis	18 / 47	29 / 60	0 / 0	0
3	Rob Font	26 / 54	31 / 60	1 / 1	0

Rob Font

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights21

Sergio Pettis

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights14