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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Raul Rosas Jr. won · U-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1544

Rob FontvsRaul Rosas Jr.UFC Prediction Result

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · Saturday, March 7, 2026Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Raul Rosas Jr. won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRob Font: Pressure fightervsRaul Rosas Jr.: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Raul Rosas Jr. wins(72.3%)

Actual result: Raul Rosas Jr. wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Raul Rosas Jr. at -310 American odds

+$32 profit

$132 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Raul Rosas Jr. enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Raul Rosas Jr. (52.9%).
Rob Font has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Rob Font

Red Corner

Raul Rosas Jr.

Blue Corner

+250

(29%)

Vegas Odds

-310

(76%)

1490

Elo

1544

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'8"

Height

5'9"

180.34 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rob Font

oldest →

vs Cory Sandhagen · Aug 23

vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Dec 23

vs Kyler Phillips · Oct 24

vs Jean Matsumoto · Feb 25

vs David Martinez · Sep 25

latest

Raul Rosas Jr.W4 streak

oldest →

vs Christian Rodriguez · Apr 23

KOvs Terrence Mitchell · Sep 23

SUBvs Ricky Turcios · Jun 24

vs Aoriqileng · Sep 24

vs Vince Morales · Mar 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rob FontMetricRaul Rosas Jr.

5.11

Strikes / min

1.34

3.53

Strikes absorbed / min

1.24

57%

Strike defense

52%

0.70

TDs / 15 min

6.10

37%

Takedown defense

25%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.90

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.58Δ 1.48 — meaningful gap+0.10

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Rob FontRaul Rosas Jr.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rob Font(10 fights)Raul Rosas Jr.(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -54.3|Blue +54.3

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Grappler Score

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Layoff

Red -168.0|Blue +168.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rob FontTargetRaul Rosas Jr.

By target zone

24% acc · 60%

Head

17% acc · 63%

50% acc · 20%

Body

100% acc · 20%

Leg

75% acc · 38%

By position

32% acc · 100%

Distance

25% acc · 100%

Clinch

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Rob Font rounds

even

Raul Rosas Jr. rounds

Round 1Raul Rosas Jr. edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:00

5Sig. strikes

5Takedowns

2:11Control

Round 2Raul Rosas Jr. edged it

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns0

Control0:13

1Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

4:07Control

Round 3Raul Rosas Jr. edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:00

2Sig. strikes

8Takedowns

3:47Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

10 / 31

Sig Strikes

8 / 33

22.7%

Sig Str %

25%

29 / 50

Total Strikes

47 / 75

0 / 1

TDs

16 / 18

TD %

90.3%

Sub Att

Rev

0:13

Ctrl Time

10:05

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Raul Rosas Jr.	5 / 22	12 / 29	5 / 6
1	Rob Font	7 / 20	8 / 21	0 / 1
2	Raul Rosas Jr.	1 / 5	17 / 23	3 / 3
2	Rob Font	0 / 2	8 / 10	0 / 0
3	Raul Rosas Jr.	2 / 6	18 / 23	8 / 9
3	Rob Font	3 / 9	13 / 19	0 / 0

Rob Font

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights21

Raul Rosas Jr.

StanceSwitch

Height69.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights7