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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Rob Font won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1490

Elo1465

Rob FontvsMatt SchnellUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · Saturday, December 3, 2016Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Rob Font won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:47

Style matchupRob Font: Pressure fightervsMatt Schnell: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Rob Font wins(65.2%)

Actual result: Rob Font wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Rob Font at -270 American odds

+$37 profit

$137 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Rob Font is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Matt Schnell has lost 60% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Rob Font

Red Corner

Matt Schnell

Blue Corner

-270

(73%)

Vegas Odds

+230

(30%)

1490

Elo

1465

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'8"

180.34 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rob FontL2 streak

oldest →

vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Dec 23

vs Kyler Phillips · Oct 24

vs Jean Matsumoto · Feb 25

vs David Martinez · Sep 25

vs Raul Rosas Jr. · Mar 26

latest

Matt SchnellL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Steve Erceg · Mar 24

SUBvs Cody Durden · Sep 24

vs Jimmy Flick · Apr 25

SUBvs Joseph Morales · Nov 25

KOvs Alessandro Costa · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rob FontMetricMatt Schnell

5.11

Strikes / min

4.07

3.53

Strikes absorbed / min

4.11

57%

Strike defense

55%

0.70

TDs / 15 min

0.60

37%

Takedown defense

43%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

1.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.58Δ 1.62 — meaningful gap-0.04

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Rob FontMatt Schnell

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rob Font(10 fights)Matt Schnell(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +25.2|Blue -25.2

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -48.9|Blue +48.9

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rob FontTargetMatt Schnell

By target zone

74% acc · 77%

Head

32% acc · 64%

100% acc · 19%

Body

100% acc · 7%

100% acc · 4%

Leg

100% acc · 29%

By position

63% acc · 46%

Distance

42% acc · 100%

100% acc · 4%

Clinch

100% acc · 50%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Rob Font rounds

even

Matt Schnell rounds

Round 1Rob Font edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns1

Control2:08

Knockdowns1

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

26 / 33

Sig Strikes

14 / 33

78%

Sig Str %

42%

32 / 40

Total Strikes

25 / 44

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

2:08

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Matt Schnell	14 / 33	25 / 44	0 / 0	0
1	Rob Font	26 / 33	32 / 40	1 / 1	1

Rob Font

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights21

Matt Schnell

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights18