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Bantamweight

5 Rounds

Marlon Vera won · U-DEC R5

Elo1490

Elo1475

Rob FontvsMarlon VeraUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · Saturday, April 30, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Marlon Vera won

U-DEC · Round 5 · 5:00

Style matchupRob Font: Pressure fightervsMarlon Vera: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Marlon Vera wins(56.4%)

Actual result: Marlon Vera wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Marlon Vera at -115 American odds

+$87 profit

$187 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Marlon Vera enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Marlon Vera has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Marlon Vera (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Rob Font

Red Corner

Marlon Vera

Blue Corner

-105

(51%)

Vegas Odds

-115

(53%)

1490

Elo

1475

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'8"

Height

5'8"

180.34 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rob FontL2 streak

oldest →

vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Dec 23

vs Kyler Phillips · Oct 24

vs Jean Matsumoto · Feb 25

vs David Martinez · Sep 25

vs Raul Rosas Jr. · Mar 26

latest

Marlon VeraL4 streak

oldest →

vs Pedro Munhoz · Aug 23

vs Sean O'Malley · Mar 24

vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Aug 24

vs Aiemann Zahabi · Oct 25

vs David Martinez · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rob FontMetricMarlon Vera

5.11

Strikes / min

4.18

3.53

Strikes absorbed / min

5.34

57%

Strike defense

50%

0.70

TDs / 15 min

0.47

37%

Takedown defense

71%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.58Δ 2.74 — meaningful gap-1.16

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Rob FontMarlon Vera

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rob Font(10 fights)Marlon Vera(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +15.5|Blue -15.5

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red -28.0|Blue +28.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rob FontTargetMarlon Vera

By target zone

199

46% acc · 73%

Head

46% acc · 60%

86% acc · 18%

Body

71% acc · 14%

100% acc · 9%

Leg

89% acc · 26%

By position

256

52% acc · 94%

Distance

133

54% acc · 84%

75% acc · 6%

Clinch

100% acc · 3%

Ground

67% acc · 14%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Rob Font rounds

even

Marlon Vera rounds

Round 1Rob Font edged it

Sig. strikes57

Takedowns0

Control0:00

26Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Rob Font edged it

Sig. strikes51

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

27Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:23Control

1Knockdowns

Round 3Rob Font edged it

Sig. strikes71

Takedowns1

Control0:18

Knockdowns0

37Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:33Control

1Knockdowns

Round 4Marlon Vera edged it

Sig. strikes42

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

36Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:09Control

1Knockdowns

Round 5Rob Font edged it

Sig. strikes50

Takedowns0

Control0:00

33Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

271 / 516

Sig Strikes

159 / 283

51.8%

Sig Str %

55.8%

273 / 520

Total Strikes

167 / 291

1 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

50%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:18

Ctrl Time

2:05

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Marlon Vera	26 / 46	26 / 46	0 / 0
1	Rob Font	57 / 100	57 / 100	0 / 0
2	Marlon Vera	27 / 52	30 / 55	0 / 0
2	Rob Font	51 / 97	51 / 97	0 / 1
3	Marlon Vera	37 / 71	39 / 73	0 / 0
3	Rob Font	71 / 123	71 / 123	1 / 1
4	Rob Font	42 / 89	44 / 93	0 / 0
4	Marlon Vera	36 / 56	39 / 59	0 / 0
5	Marlon Vera	33 / 58	33 / 58	0 / 0
5	Rob Font	50 / 107	50 / 107	0 / 0

Rob Font

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights21

Marlon Vera

StanceSwitch

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights26