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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Rob Font won · U-DEC R3
Elo1490
Rob Font
Elo1476
Kyler Phillips

Rob FontvsKyler PhillipsUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · Saturday, October 19, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Rob Font won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRob Font: Pressure fightervsKyler Phillips: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Kyler Phillips wins(50.0%)

Actual result: Rob Font wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kyler Phillips at -625 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Kyler Phillips has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Rob Font
Red Corner
VS
Kyler Phillips
Blue Corner
+455
(18%)
Vegas Odds
-625
(86%)
1490
Elo
1476
39
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'8"
180.34 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rob FontL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Cory Sandhagen · Aug 23
L
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Dec 23
W
vs Jean Matsumoto · Feb 25
L
vs David Martinez · Sep 25
L
vs Raul Rosas Jr. · Mar 26
latest
Kyler PhillipsL2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Marcelo Rojo · Feb 22
W
vs Raoni Barcelos · Aug 23
W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Mar 24
L
vs Vinicius Oliveira · Jul 25
L
DECvs Charles Jourdain · Apr 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rob FontMetricKyler Phillips
5.11
Strikes / min
4.75
3.53
Strikes absorbed / min
3.83
57%
Strike defense
58%
0.70
TDs / 15 min
2.82
37%
Takedown defense
75%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.58evenly matched on net striking+0.92

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1553 vs 1575Strikes5.4 vs 5.3Takedowns0.8 vs 2.6Sub Atts0.30 vs 0.40Form-0.5 vs 0.9
Rob FontKyler Phillips

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601475149015051520← oldermost recent →
Rob Font(10 fights)Kyler Phillips(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +14.1|Blue -14.1
Recent Form
Red -1.5|Blue +1.5
Striker Score
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff
Red +98.0|Blue -98.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rob FontTargetKyler Phillips

By target zone

50
41% acc · 82%
Head
19
19% acc · 50%
11
73% acc · 18%
Body
9
64% acc · 24%
0
Leg
10
77% acc · 26%

By position

56
43% acc · 92%
Distance
32
29% acc · 84%
5
83% acc · 8%
Clinch
1
17% acc · 3%
0
Ground
5
71% acc · 13%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Rob Font rounds
0
even
1
Kyler Phillips rounds
Round 1Kyler Phillips edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:29
10Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:34Control
Round 2Rob Font edged it
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns0
Control0:29
14Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
0:24Control
Round 3Rob Font edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:21
14Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:44Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
61 / 137
Sig Strikes
38 / 125
42.3%
Sig Str %
31.3%
65 / 144
Total Strikes
50 / 143
0 / 1
TDs
4 / 5
0%
TD %
83.3%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:19
Ctrl Time
4:42

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Kyler Phillips10 / 2621 / 421 / 10
1Rob Font7 / 197 / 200 / 10
2Kyler Phillips14 / 4815 / 492 / 20
2Rob Font31 / 5834 / 630 / 00
3Kyler Phillips14 / 5114 / 521 / 20
3Rob Font23 / 6024 / 610 / 00

Rob Font

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights21

Kyler Phillips

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights9