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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Rob Font won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1490
Rob Font
Elo1358

Rob FontvsJoey GomezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · Sunday, January 17, 2016Boston, Massachusetts, USA

Official fight result

Rob Font won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:13

Style matchupRob Font: Pressure fightervsJoey Gomez: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Rob Font wins(77.2%)

Actual result: Rob Font wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Rob Font at -220 American odds

+$45 profit

$145 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Rob Font is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Joey Gomez has lost 50% of fights by KO.
  • Rob Font has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Rob Font
Red Corner
VS
Joey Gomez
Blue Corner
-220
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+180
(36%)
1490
Elo
1358
39
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rob FontL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Dec 23
W
vs Kyler Phillips · Oct 24
W
vs Jean Matsumoto · Feb 25
L
vs David Martinez · Sep 25
L
vs Raul Rosas Jr. · Mar 26
latest
Joey Gomez
oldest →
L
vs Jose Quinonez · Sep 16
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rob FontMetricJoey Gomez
5.11
Strikes / min
3.73
3.53
Strikes absorbed / min
3.33
57%
Strike defense
50%
0.70
TDs / 15 min
2.00
37%
Takedown defense
0%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.58Δ 1.18 — meaningful gap+0.40

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1516 vs 1500Strikes12.0 vs Takedowns0.0 vs Sub Atts0.00 vs Form1.0 vs 0.0
Rob FontJoey Gomez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Rob Font(10 fights)Joey Gomez(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +132.1|Blue -132.1
Recent Form
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rob FontTargetJoey Gomez

By target zone

29
36% acc · 56%
Head
10
16% acc · 67%
17
85% acc · 33%
Body
2
50% acc · 13%
6
67% acc · 12%
Leg
3
100% acc · 20%

By position

39
42% acc · 75%
Distance
9
14% acc · 60%
13
81% acc · 25%
Clinch
6
75% acc · 40%
0
0% acc
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Rob Font rounds
0
even
0
Joey Gomez rounds
Round 1Rob Font edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns1
Control1:05
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Rob Font edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control0:01
Knockdowns1
2Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:24Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
52 / 110
Sig Strikes
15 / 71
46.5%
Sig Str %
18%
56 / 115
Total Strikes
19 / 75
1 / 5
TDs
1 / 1
20%
TD %
100%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:06
Ctrl Time
0:24

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Joey Gomez13 / 4417 / 480 / 00
1Rob Font19 / 4123 / 461 / 50
2Joey Gomez2 / 272 / 271 / 10
2Rob Font33 / 6933 / 690 / 00

Rob Font

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights21

Joey Gomez

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights2