← All fights/Event page

Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Rob Font won · SUB R2

Elo1490

Elo1484

Rob FontvsDouglas Silva de AndradeUFC Prediction Result

UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · Saturday, July 8, 2017Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Rob Font won

SUB · Round 2 · 4:36

Style matchupRob Font: Pressure fightervsDouglas Silva de Andrade: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Douglas Silva de Andrade wins(59.1%)

Actual result: Rob Font wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Douglas Silva de Andrade at +225 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Douglas Silva de Andrade has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Rob Font

Red Corner

Douglas Silva de Andrade

Blue Corner

-265

(73%)

Vegas Odds

+225

(31%)

1490

Elo

1484

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'7"

180.34 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rob FontL2 streak

oldest →

vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Dec 23

vs Kyler Phillips · Oct 24

vs Jean Matsumoto · Feb 25

vs David Martinez · Sep 25

vs Raul Rosas Jr. · Mar 26

latest

Douglas Silva de AndradeL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Sergey Morozov · Feb 22

vs Said Nurmagomedov · Jul 22

vs Cody Stamann · May 23

vs Miles Johns · Jun 24

KOvs Javier Reyes · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rob FontMetricDouglas Silva de Andrade

5.11

Strikes / min

3.54

3.53

Strikes absorbed / min

4.09

57%

Strike defense

56%

0.70

TDs / 15 min

0.54

37%

Takedown defense

71%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.58Δ 2.13 — meaningful gap-0.55

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Rob FontDouglas Silva de Andrade

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rob Font(10 fights)Douglas Silva de Andrade(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +6.0|Blue -6.0

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -28.0|Blue +28.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rob FontTargetDouglas Silva de Andrade

By target zone

42% acc · 71%

Head

24% acc · 57%

78% acc · 20%

Body

44% acc · 14%

100% acc · 9%

Leg

50% acc · 29%

By position

43% acc · 77%

Distance

30% acc · 96%

92% acc · 17%

Clinch

33% acc · 4%

100% acc · 6%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Rob Font rounds

even

Douglas Silva de Andrade rounds

Round 1Rob Font edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns1

Control1:09

12Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:02Control

Round 2Rob Font edged it

Sig. strikes39

Takedowns1

Control0:59

16Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:08Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

70 / 144

Sig Strikes

28 / 93

48%

Sig Str %

29.5%

79 / 154

Total Strikes

32 / 98

2 / 4

TDs

2 / 2

50%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

2:08

Ctrl Time

0:10

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Douglas Silva de Andrade	12 / 43	14 / 45	1 / 1	0
1	Rob Font	31 / 67	38 / 75	1 / 2	2
2	Douglas Silva de Andrade	16 / 50	18 / 53	1 / 1	0
2	Rob Font	39 / 77	41 / 79	1 / 2	1

Rob Font

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights21

Douglas Silva de Andrade

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights14