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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Deiveson Figueiredo won · U-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1483

Rob FontvsDeiveson FigueiredoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · Saturday, December 2, 2023Austin, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Deiveson Figueiredo won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRob Font: Pressure fightervsDeiveson Figueiredo: Submission grappler

The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.

Model Prediction: Deiveson Figueiredo wins(59.3%)

Actual result: Deiveson Figueiredo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Deiveson Figueiredo at +100 American odds

+$100 profit

$200 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Deiveson Figueiredo has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Rob Font

Red Corner

Deiveson Figueiredo

Blue Corner

-130

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+100

(50%)

1490

Elo

1483

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'5"

180.34 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rob FontL2 streak

oldest →

vs Cory Sandhagen · Aug 23

vs Kyler Phillips · Oct 24

vs Jean Matsumoto · Feb 25

vs David Martinez · Sep 25

vs Raul Rosas Jr. · Mar 26

latest

Deiveson FigueiredoL2 streak

oldest →

vs Petr Yan · Nov 24

KOvs Cory Sandhagen · May 25

vs Montel Jackson · Oct 25

vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Jan 26

SUBvs Song Yadong · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rob FontMetricDeiveson Figueiredo

5.11

Strikes / min

2.63

3.53

Strikes absorbed / min

3.47

57%

Strike defense

49%

0.70

TDs / 15 min

1.61

37%

Takedown defense

57%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

1.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.58Δ 2.42 — meaningful gap-0.84

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Rob FontDeiveson Figueiredo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rob Font(10 fights)Deiveson Figueiredo(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +7.3|Blue -7.3

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Grappler Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Layoff

Red -196.0|Blue +196.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rob FontTargetDeiveson Figueiredo

By target zone

46% acc · 85%

Head

55% acc · 78%

83% acc · 11%

Body

100% acc · 16%

67% acc · 4%

Leg

100% acc · 7%

By position

48% acc · 96%

Distance

55% acc · 73%

100% acc · 4%

Clinch

86% acc · 13%

Ground

86% acc · 13%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Rob Font rounds

even

Deiveson Figueiredo rounds

Round 1Rob Font edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:13

10Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

0:34Control

Round 2Deiveson Figueiredo edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:00

15Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:09Control

Round 3Deiveson Figueiredo edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:09

20Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:19Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

46 / 94

Sig Strikes

45 / 74

47%

Sig Str %

60%

48 / 96

Total Strikes

53 / 84

0 / 2

TDs

4 / 7

TD %

55.3%

Sub Att

Rev

0:22

Ctrl Time

4:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Deiveson Figueiredo	10 / 20	10 / 20	2 / 3
1	Rob Font	22 / 37	22 / 37	0 / 1
2	Deiveson Figueiredo	15 / 22	15 / 22	1 / 2
2	Rob Font	15 / 33	17 / 35	0 / 0
3	Deiveson Figueiredo	20 / 32	28 / 42	1 / 2
3	Rob Font	9 / 24	9 / 24	0 / 1

Rob Font

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights21

Deiveson Figueiredo

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights20