← All fights/Event page

Bantamweight

3 Rounds

David Martinez won · U-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1545

Rob FontvsDavid MartinezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · Saturday, September 13, 2025San Antonio, Texas, USA

Official fight result

David Martinez won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRob Font: Pressure fightervsDavid Martinez: Elusive striker

The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.

Model Prediction: David Martinez wins(68.0%)

Actual result: David Martinez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

David Martinez at +108 American odds

+$108 profit

$208 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

David Martinez has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
David Martinez has 63pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Rob Font has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Rob Font

Red Corner

David Martinez

Blue Corner

-130

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+108

(48%)

1490

Elo

1545

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'5"

180.34 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rob Font

oldest →

vs Cory Sandhagen · Aug 23

vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Dec 23

vs Kyler Phillips · Oct 24

vs Jean Matsumoto · Feb 25

vs Raul Rosas Jr. · Mar 26

latest

David MartinezW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Saimon Oliveira · Mar 25

vs Marlon Vera · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rob FontMetricDavid Martinez

5.11

Strikes / min

4.82

3.53

Strikes absorbed / min

2.90

57%

Strike defense

69%

0.70

TDs / 15 min

0.60

37%

Takedown defense

100%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.58evenly matched on net striking+1.92

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Rob FontDavid Martinez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rob Font(10 fights)David Martinez(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -54.9|Blue +54.9

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +35.0|Blue -35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rob FontTargetDavid Martinez

By target zone

29% acc · 82%

Head

29% acc · 53%

41% acc · 14%

Body

63% acc · 16%

67% acc · 4%

Leg

79% acc · 31%

By position

31% acc · 100%

Distance

40% acc · 100%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Rob Font rounds

even

David Martinez rounds

Round 1David Martinez edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:20

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Rob Font edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:39

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:30Control

Round 3David Martinez edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:00

30Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

49 / 158

Sig Strikes

62 / 155

30%

Sig Str %

40.3%

49 / 158

Total Strikes

115 / 210

0 / 5

TDs

0 / 2

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:59

Ctrl Time

0:33

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	David Martinez	22 / 45	35 / 58	0 / 1
1	Rob Font	11 / 51	11 / 51	0 / 2
2	David Martinez	10 / 27	30 / 47	0 / 1
2	Rob Font	15 / 49	15 / 49	0 / 3
3	David Martinez	30 / 83	50 / 105	0 / 0
3	Rob Font	23 / 58	23 / 58	0 / 0

Rob Font

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights21

David Martinez

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights3