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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Rob Font won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1490

Elo1521

Rob FontvsAdrian YanezUFC Prediction Result

UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · Saturday, April 8, 2023Miami, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Rob Font won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:57

Style matchupRob Font: Pressure fightervsAdrian Yanez: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Adrian Yanez wins(66.3%)

Actual result: Rob Font wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Adrian Yanez at -210 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Rob Font is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Adrian Yanez has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Adrian Yanez has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Rob Font

Red Corner

Adrian Yanez

Blue Corner

+176

(36%)

Vegas Odds

-210

(68%)

1490

Elo

1521

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'7"

180.34 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rob FontL2 streak

oldest →

vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Dec 23

vs Kyler Phillips · Oct 24

vs Jean Matsumoto · Feb 25

vs David Martinez · Sep 25

vs Raul Rosas Jr. · Mar 26

latest

Adrian Yanez

oldest →

KOvs Jonathan Martinez · Oct 23

KOvs Vinicius Salvador · May 24

vs Daniel Marcos · Dec 24

vs Ricky Simon · Mar 26

KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Jul 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rob FontMetricAdrian Yanez

5.11

Strikes / min

5.96

3.53

Strikes absorbed / min

5.24

57%

Strike defense

56%

0.70

TDs / 15 min

0.00

37%

Takedown defense

75%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.58evenly matched on net striking+0.72

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Rob FontAdrian Yanez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rob Font(10 fights)Adrian Yanez(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -31.4|Blue +31.4

Recent Form

Red -1.3|Blue +1.3

Striker Score

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +49.0|Blue -49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rob FontTargetAdrian Yanez

By target zone

43% acc · 91%

Head

43% acc · 84%

40% acc · 6%

Body

50% acc · 4%

100% acc · 3%

Leg

100% acc · 12%

By position

41% acc · 82%

Distance

49% acc · 100%

50% acc · 3%

Clinch

0% acc

71% acc · 15%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Rob Font rounds

even

Adrian Yanez rounds

Round 1Rob Font edged it

Sig. strikes33

Takedowns0

Control0:04

Knockdowns1

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

33 / 75

Sig Strikes

25 / 54

44%

Sig Str %

46%

33 / 75

Total Strikes

25 / 54

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:04

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Adrian Yanez	25 / 54	25 / 54	0 / 0	0
1	Rob Font	33 / 75	33 / 75	0 / 1	0

Rob Font

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights21

Adrian Yanez

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights11