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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Rob Broughton won · SUB R3

Elo1351

Elo1490

Rob BroughtonvsVinicius QueirozUFC Prediction Result

UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · Saturday, October 16, 2010London, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Rob Broughton won

SUB · Round 3 · 1:43

Model Prediction: Vinicius Queiroz wins(54.0%)

Actual result: Rob Broughton wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Vinicius Queiroz at -165 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Rob Broughton has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Vinicius Queiroz has 74pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Vinicius Queiroz has a 14cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Rob Broughton

Red Corner

Vinicius Queiroz

Blue Corner

+145

(41%)

Vegas Odds

-165

(62%)

1351

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'7"

187.96 cm

Reach

202 cm

Recent Form

Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rob BroughtonL2 streak

oldest →

vs Travis Browne · Sep 11

vs Philip De Fries · Nov 11

latest

Vinicius QueirozNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rob BroughtonMetricVinicius Queiroz

2.83

Strikes / min

3.67

2.54

Strikes absorbed / min

4.10

51%

Strike defense

41%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

5.07

26%

Takedown defense

100%

3.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.29evenly matched on net striking-0.43

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rob Broughton(3 fights)Vinicius Queiroz(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -138.9|Blue +138.9

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rob BroughtonTargetVinicius Queiroz

By target zone

59% acc · 69%

Head

41% acc · 77%

100% acc · 13%

Body

73% acc · 17%

100% acc · 18%

Leg

75% acc · 6%

By position

65% acc · 85%

Distance

45% acc · 70%

67% acc · 3%

Clinch

100% acc · 4%

100% acc · 12%

Ground

44% acc · 26%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Rob Broughton rounds

even

Vinicius Queiroz rounds

Round 1Vinicius Queiroz edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:03

32Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

3:30Control

Round 2Rob Broughton edged it

Sig. strikes34

Takedowns0

Control0:49

14Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

2:03Control

Round 3Rob Broughton edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control1:09

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

67 / 99

Sig Strikes

47 / 103

70.3%

Sig Str %

36.7%

147 / 206

Total Strikes

63 / 131

0 / 1

TDs

5 / 7

TD %

66.7%

Sub Att

Rev

2:01

Ctrl Time

5:33

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Vinicius Queiroz	32 / 56	45 / 76	2 / 2	0
1	Rob Broughton	18 / 28	50 / 72	0 / 1	0
2	Vinicius Queiroz	14 / 42	17 / 50	3 / 3	0
2	Rob Broughton	34 / 53	79 / 112	0 / 0	0
3	Vinicius Queiroz	1 / 5	1 / 5	0 / 2	0
3	Rob Broughton	15 / 18	18 / 22	0 / 0	6

Rob Broughton

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights3

Vinicius Queiroz

StanceOrthodox

Height79.0"

Reach—

Fights1