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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Rizvan Kuniev won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1541

Elo1492

Rizvan KunievvsTyrell FortuneUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · Saturday, July 25, 2026Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Rizvan Kuniev won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 1:12

Engine 7.0 was correct

Pre-fight pick: Rizvan Kuniev

If $100 had been placed on our pre-fight pick

Rizvan Kuniev at -288 American odds · hypothetical only

+$35 profit

$135 total returned

Style matchupRizvan Kuniev: Well-roundedvsTyrell Fortune: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Tale of the Tape

Rizvan Kuniev

Red Corner

Tyrell Fortune

Blue Corner

-342

(77%)

Vegas Odds

+272

(27%)

1541

Elo

1492

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'4"

Height

6'0"

193.04 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rizvan Kuniev

oldest →

vs Curtis Blaydes · Jun 25

vs Jailton Almeida · Feb 26

latest

Tyrell Fortune

oldest →

vs Marcin Tybura · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rizvan KunievMetricTyrell Fortune

3.94

Strikes / min

2.00

2.33

Strikes absorbed / min

3.13

48%

Strike defense

57%

0.98

TDs / 15 min

3.00

93%

Takedown defense

100%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.61Δ 2.74 — meaningful gap-1.13

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rizvan Kuniev(3 fights)Tyrell Fortune(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +48.9|Blue -48.9

Recent Form

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +49.0|Blue -49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rizvan KunievTargetTyrell Fortune

By target zone

49% acc · 70%

Head

36% acc · 60%

77% acc · 30%

Body

80% acc · 20%

Leg

80% acc · 20%

By position

47% acc · 53%

Distance

33% acc · 50%

68% acc · 45%

Clinch

77% acc · 50%

100% acc · 2%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Rizvan Kuniev rounds

even

Tyrell Fortune rounds

Round 1Rizvan Kuniev edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:28

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Rizvan Kuniev edged it

Sig. strikes34

Takedowns0

Control1:50

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Rizvan Kuniev edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:03

Knockdowns1

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

66 / 120

Sig Strikes

20 / 43

55.7%

Sig Str %

47.7%

68 / 122

Total Strikes

29 / 52

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 2

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

2:21

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Tyrell Fortune	10 / 23	13 / 26	0 / 0
1	Rizvan Kuniev	24 / 49	25 / 50	0 / 0
2	Tyrell Fortune	8 / 16	14 / 22	0 / 2
2	Rizvan Kuniev	34 / 58	34 / 58	0 / 0
3	Tyrell Fortune	2 / 4	2 / 4	0 / 0
3	Rizvan Kuniev	8 / 13	9 / 14	0 / 0

The Pick

Vegas favorite

Rizvan Kuniev

Odds

-288

Market-implied probability

Rizvan Kuniev 71%

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

$100 bet returns

Rizvan Kuniev (model pick · research)$135

Tyrell Fortune$329

71% market-implied · model 51% (research) · vufc_v7_0_20260718_090638

🔒 Pick locked Jul 18, 2026, 9:29 AM UTC at -288 · never rewritten

Rizvan Kuniev

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights3

Tyrell Fortune

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights2