Welterweight

3 Rounds

Rinat Fakhretdinov won · U-DEC R3

Elo1540

Elo1426

Rinat FakhretdinovvsAndreas MichailidisUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · Saturday, June 4, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Rinat Fakhretdinov won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Rinat Fakhretdinov wins(82.9%)

Actual result: Rinat Fakhretdinov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Rinat Fakhretdinov at -275 American odds

+$36 profit

$136 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Rinat Fakhretdinov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Rinat Fakhretdinov has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Rinat Fakhretdinov has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Rinat Fakhretdinov

Red Corner

Andreas Michailidis

Blue Corner

-275

(73%)

Vegas Odds

+220

(31%)

1540

Elo

1426

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'0"

187.96 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rinat FakhretdinovW5 streak

oldest →

vs Bryan Battle · Dec 22

SUBvs Kevin Lee · Jul 23

vs Nicolas Dalby · Jun 24

vs Carlos Leal · Oct 24

KOvs Andreas Gustafsson · Sep 25

latest

Andreas Michailidis

oldest →

KOvs Modestas Bukauskas · Jul 20

vs KB Bhullar · May 21

KOvs Alex Pereira · Nov 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rinat FakhretdinovMetricAndreas Michailidis

5.03

Strikes / min

2.90

3.61

Strikes absorbed / min

3.57

54%

Strike defense

44%

3.91

TDs / 15 min

1.12

91%

Takedown defense

50%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.42Δ 2.09 — meaningful gap-0.67

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Rinat FakhretdinovAndreas Michailidis

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rinat Fakhretdinov(6 fights)Andreas Michailidis(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +114.0|Blue -114.0

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red +49.6|Blue -49.6

Grappler Score

Red +49.8|Blue -49.8

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rinat FakhretdinovTargetAndreas Michailidis

By target zone

66% acc · 60%

Head

32% acc · 39%

91% acc · 22%

Body

100% acc · 28%

89% acc · 18%

Leg

100% acc · 33%

By position

50% acc · 22%

Distance

41% acc · 50%

82% acc · 40%

Clinch

78% acc · 39%

89% acc · 38%

Ground

100% acc · 11%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Rinat Fakhretdinov rounds

even

Andreas Michailidis rounds

Round 1Rinat Fakhretdinov edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns3

Control3:53

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:24Control

Round 2Rinat Fakhretdinov edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns1

Control4:35

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:11Control

Round 3Rinat Fakhretdinov edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns1

Control4:32

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

45 / 61

Sig Strikes

18 / 33

70.7%

Sig Str %

51%

106 / 130

Total Strikes

48 / 65

5 / 10

TDs

0 / 2

61.7%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

13:00

Ctrl Time

0:39

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Andreas Michailidis	12 / 17	24 / 31	0 / 1
1	Rinat Fakhretdinov	17 / 25	33 / 42	3 / 5
2	Andreas Michailidis	2 / 4	16 / 18	0 / 0
2	Rinat Fakhretdinov	5 / 8	31 / 37	1 / 1
3	Andreas Michailidis	4 / 12	8 / 16	0 / 1
3	Rinat Fakhretdinov	23 / 28	42 / 51	1 / 4

Rinat Fakhretdinov

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights6

Andreas Michailidis

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights4