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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Ricky Simon won · S-DEC R3

Elo1500

Elo1492

Ricky SimonvsRay BorgUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · Wednesday, May 13, 2020Jacksonville, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Ricky Simon won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRicky Simon: WrestlervsRay Borg: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Ricky Simon wins(56.5%)

Actual result: Ricky Simon wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ricky Simon at -170 American odds

+$59 profit

$159 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ricky Simon has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Ricky Simon has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Ricky Simon has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Ricky Simon

Red Corner

Ray Borg

Blue Corner

-170

(63%)

Vegas Odds

+150

(40%)

1500

Elo

1492

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'4"

175.26 cm

Reach

160.02 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ricky Simon

oldest →

vs Vinicius Oliveira · Jun 24

KOvs Javid Basharat · Feb 25

vs Cameron Smotherman · Jun 25

vs Raoni Barcelos · Nov 25

vs Adrian Yanez · Mar 26

latest

Ray BorgW2 streak

oldest →

vs Jussier Formiga · Mar 17

SUBvs Demetrious Johnson · Oct 17

vs Casey Kenney · Mar 19

vs Gabriel Silva · Jul 19

vs Rogerio Bontorin · Feb 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ricky SimonMetricRay Borg

3.03

Strikes / min

1.52

3.90

Strikes absorbed / min

1.93

61%

Strike defense

48%

4.49

TDs / 15 min

3.89

76%

Takedown defense

46%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

1.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.87evenly matched on net striking-0.41

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ricky SimonRay Borg

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ricky Simon(10 fights)Ray Borg(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +8.0|Blue -8.0

Recent Form

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +70.0|Blue -70.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ricky SimonTargetRay Borg

By target zone

38% acc · 66%

Head

46% acc · 70%

72% acc · 19%

Body

74% acc · 30%

91% acc · 15%

Leg

0% acc

By position

42% acc · 81%

Distance

52% acc · 100%

71% acc · 7%

Clinch

100% acc · 12%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ricky Simon rounds

even

Ray Borg rounds

Round 1Ricky Simon edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns4

Control2:38

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:14Control

Round 2Ricky Simon edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns1

Control1:23

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns2

Control1:22

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:16Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

67 / 144

Sig Strikes

47 / 91

46.3%

Sig Str %

53%

93 / 170

Total Strikes

53 / 98

7 / 11

TDs

0 / 2

59.7%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

5:23

Ctrl Time

0:30

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ray Borg	10 / 16	10 / 16	0 / 1
1	Ricky Simon	26 / 46	46 / 66	4 / 5
2	Ray Borg	14 / 31	14 / 31	0 / 1
2	Ricky Simon	25 / 59	30 / 64	1 / 3
3	Ray Borg	23 / 44	29 / 51	0 / 0
3	Ricky Simon	16 / 39	17 / 40	2 / 3

Ricky Simon

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights17

Ray Borg

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights12