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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Ricky Simon won · U-DEC R3

Elo1500

Elo1499

Ricky SimonvsMontel JacksonUFC Prediction Result

UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · Saturday, August 4, 2018Los Angeles, California, USA

Official fight result

Ricky Simon won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRicky Simon: WrestlervsMontel Jackson: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Ricky Simon wins(65.8%)

Actual result: Ricky Simon wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ricky Simon at +105 American odds

+$105 profit

$205 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Montel Jackson (53.5%).
Montel Jackson has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Ricky Simon

Red Corner

Montel Jackson

Blue Corner

+105

(49%)

Vegas Odds

-125

(56%)

1500

Elo

1499

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'6"

Height

5'10"

175.26 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ricky Simon

oldest →

vs Vinicius Oliveira · Jun 24

KOvs Javid Basharat · Feb 25

vs Cameron Smotherman · Jun 25

vs Raoni Barcelos · Nov 25

vs Adrian Yanez · Mar 26

latest

Montel JacksonL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Rani Yahya · Apr 23

KOvs Da'Mon Blackshear · Jul 24

vs Daniel Marcos · May 25

vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Oct 25

DECvs Raoni Barcelos · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ricky SimonMetricMontel Jackson

3.03

Strikes / min

3.02

3.90

Strikes absorbed / min

1.40

61%

Strike defense

60%

4.49

TDs / 15 min

2.71

76%

Takedown defense

67%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.87Δ 2.49 — meaningful gap+1.62

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ricky SimonMontel Jackson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ricky Simon(10 fights)Montel Jackson(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ricky SimonTargetMontel Jackson

By target zone

23% acc · 28%

Head

36% acc · 64%

71% acc · 40%

Body

87% acc · 31%

100% acc · 32%

Leg

67% acc · 5%

By position

41% acc · 72%

Distance

35% acc · 55%

88% acc · 28%

Clinch

70% acc · 38%

0% acc

Ground

60% acc · 7%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ricky Simon rounds

even

Montel Jackson rounds

Round 1Ricky Simon edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns2

Control0:59

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:05Control

Round 2Ricky Simon edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns1

Control1:16

10Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:26Control

Round 3Montel Jackson edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns4

Control3:20

22Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:14Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

25 / 53

Sig Strikes

42 / 94

44%

Sig Str %

44.3%

44 / 75

Total Strikes

55 / 107

7 / 20

TDs

2 / 2

33.7%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

5:35

Ctrl Time

0:45

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Montel Jackson	10 / 35	18 / 43	0 / 0
1	Ricky Simon	10 / 21	11 / 22	2 / 7
2	Montel Jackson	10 / 28	12 / 30	1 / 1
2	Ricky Simon	12 / 23	23 / 36	1 / 6
3	Montel Jackson	22 / 31	25 / 34	1 / 1
3	Ricky Simon	3 / 9	10 / 17	4 / 7

Ricky Simon

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights17

Montel Jackson

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights13