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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Ricky Simon won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1500

Elo1503

Ricky SimonvsJavid BasharatUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · Saturday, February 22, 2025Seattle, Washington, USA

Official fight result

Ricky Simon won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:58

Style matchupRicky Simon: WrestlervsJavid Basharat: Elusive striker

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Ricky Simon wins(51.4%)

Actual result: Ricky Simon wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ricky Simon at +215 American odds

+$215 profit

$315 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Ricky Simon

Red Corner

Javid Basharat

Blue Corner

+215

(32%)

Vegas Odds

-260

(72%)

1500

Elo

1503

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'9"

175.26 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ricky Simon

oldest →

vs Mario Bautista · Jan 24

vs Vinicius Oliveira · Jun 24

vs Cameron Smotherman · Jun 25

vs Raoni Barcelos · Nov 25

vs Adrian Yanez · Mar 26

latest

Javid Basharat

oldest →

vs Trevin Jones · Mar 22

vs Tony Gravely · Sep 22

vs Mateus Mendonca · Jan 23

vs Aiemann Zahabi · Mar 24

vs Gianni Vazquez · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ricky SimonMetricJavid Basharat

3.03

Strikes / min

5.18

3.90

Strikes absorbed / min

2.75

61%

Strike defense

63%

4.49

TDs / 15 min

1.83

76%

Takedown defense

83%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.87Δ 3.30 — meaningful gap+2.43

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ricky SimonJavid Basharat

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ricky Simon(10 fights)Javid Basharat(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -2.9|Blue +2.9

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red -119.0|Blue +119.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ricky SimonTargetJavid Basharat

By target zone

47% acc · 82%

Head

44% acc · 60%

100% acc · 9%

Body

100% acc · 35%

100% acc · 9%

Leg

50% acc · 5%

By position

50% acc · 82%

Distance

56% acc · 100%

50% acc · 9%

Clinch

100% acc · 9%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ricky Simon rounds

even

Javid Basharat rounds

Round 1Ricky Simon edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns1

Control1:16

Knockdowns1

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

11 / 21

Sig Strikes

20 / 36

52%

Sig Str %

55%

18 / 29

Total Strikes

21 / 38

1 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

33%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:16

Ctrl Time

0:01

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Javid Basharat	20 / 36	21 / 38	0 / 0	0
1	Ricky Simon	11 / 21	18 / 29	1 / 3	0

Ricky Simon

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights17

Javid Basharat

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights6