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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Ricky Simon won · SUB R2

Elo1500

Elo1496

Ricky SimonvsJack ShoreUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · Saturday, July 16, 2022Elmont, New York, USA

Official fight result

Ricky Simon won

SUB · Round 2 · 3:28

Style matchupRicky Simon: WrestlervsJack Shore: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Ricky Simon wins(54.2%)

Actual result: Ricky Simon wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ricky Simon at +145 American odds

+$145 profit

$245 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Ricky Simon

Red Corner

Jack Shore

Blue Corner

+145

(41%)

Vegas Odds

-170

(63%)

1500

Elo

1496

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'8"

175.26 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ricky Simon

oldest →

vs Vinicius Oliveira · Jun 24

KOvs Javid Basharat · Feb 25

vs Cameron Smotherman · Jun 25

vs Raoni Barcelos · Nov 25

vs Adrian Yanez · Mar 26

latest

Jack ShoreL2 streak

oldest →

vs Liudvik Sholinian · Sep 21

vs Timur Valiev · Mar 22

SUBvs Makwan Amirkhani · Mar 23

KOvs Joanderson Brito · May 24

SUBvs Youssef Zalal · Nov 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ricky SimonMetricJack Shore

3.03

Strikes / min

3.60

3.90

Strikes absorbed / min

2.31

61%

Strike defense

56%

4.49

TDs / 15 min

3.22

76%

Takedown defense

74%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.87Δ 2.16 — meaningful gap+1.29

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ricky SimonJack Shore

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ricky Simon(10 fights)Jack Shore(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +4.8|Blue -4.8

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +91.0|Blue -91.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ricky SimonTargetJack Shore

By target zone

52% acc · 52%

Head

38% acc · 79%

100% acc · 8%

Body

100% acc · 21%

91% acc · 40%

Leg

By position

60% acc · 72%

Distance

40% acc · 89%

100% acc · 16%

Clinch

100% acc · 11%

75% acc · 12%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ricky Simon rounds

even

Jack Shore rounds

Round 1Ricky Simon edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control2:08

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

Round 2Ricky Simon edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns2

Control1:58

Knockdowns1

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:09Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

25 / 38

Sig Strikes

19 / 44

66.5%

Sig Str %

45%

46 / 59

Total Strikes

27 / 52

2 / 8

TDs

0 / 3

33%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

4:06

Ctrl Time

0:13

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jack Shore	11 / 29	16 / 34	0 / 1	0
1	Ricky Simon	12 / 21	28 / 37	0 / 5	0
2	Jack Shore	8 / 15	11 / 18	0 / 2	0
2	Ricky Simon	13 / 17	18 / 22	2 / 3	1

Ricky Simon

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights17

Jack Shore

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights9