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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Christos Giagos won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1484

Elo1495

Ricky GlennvsChristos GiagosUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · Saturday, April 22, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Christos Giagos won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:35

Style matchupRicky Glenn: Well-roundedvsChristos Giagos: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Ricky Glenn wins(59.9%)

Actual result: Christos Giagos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ricky Glenn at -164 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Christos Giagos enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Ricky Glenn has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Ricky Glenn (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Ricky Glenn

Red Corner

Christos Giagos

Blue Corner

-164

(62%)

Vegas Odds

+138

(42%)

1484

Elo

1495

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'10"

177.8 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ricky GlennL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Joaquim Silva · Jun 21

KOvs Drew Dober · Oct 23

vs Song Kenan · Aug 24

latest

Christos GiagosL4 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Sean Soriano · May 21

KOvs Arman Tsarukyan · Sep 21

SUBvs Thiago Moises · Jun 22

SUBvs Daniel Zellhuber · Sep 23

KOvs Ignacio Bahamondes · Apr 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ricky GlennMetricChristos Giagos

3.79

Strikes / min

3.03

4.30

Strikes absorbed / min

3.21

51%

Strike defense

50%

0.72

TDs / 15 min

2.84

69%

Takedown defense

52%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.51evenly matched on net striking-0.18

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ricky GlennChristos Giagos

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ricky Glenn(4 fights)Christos Giagos(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -10.3|Blue +10.3

Recent Form

Red +1.5|Blue -1.5

Striker Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +371.0|Blue -371.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ricky GlennTargetChristos Giagos

By target zone

14% acc · 50%

Head

36% acc · 44%

0% acc

Body

100% acc · 33%

33% acc · 50%

Leg

100% acc · 22%

By position

18% acc · 100%

Distance

53% acc · 89%

Clinch

Ground

100% acc · 11%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ricky Glenn rounds

even

Christos Giagos rounds

Round 1Christos Giagos edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

2 / 11

Sig Strikes

9 / 16

18%

Sig Str %

56%

2 / 11

Total Strikes

9 / 16

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Christos Giagos	9 / 16	9 / 16	0 / 0	0
1	Ricky Glenn	2 / 11	2 / 11	0 / 0	0

Ricky Glenn

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights4

Christos Giagos

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights14