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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Rick Glenn won · S-DEC R3
Elo1491
Elo1359
Phillipe Nover

Rick GlennvsPhillipe NoverUFC Prediction Result

UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · Saturday, February 11, 2017Brooklyn, New York, USA

Official fight result

Rick Glenn won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Phillipe Nover wins(51.1%)

Actual result: Rick Glenn wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Phillipe Nover at +155 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Rick Glenn (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Rick Glenn
Red Corner
VS
Phillipe Nover
Blue Corner
-175
(64%)
Vegas Odds
+155
(39%)
1491
Elo
1359
27
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'9"
177.8 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rick Glenn
oldest →
L
vs Evan Dunham · Sep 16
W
vs Gavin Tucker · Sep 17
L
vs Myles Jury · Dec 17
W
vs Dennis Bermudez · Jul 18
L
vs Kevin Aguilar · Nov 18
latest
Phillipe NoverL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Yui Chul Nam · May 15
L
vs Zubaira Tukhugov · Dec 15
L
vs Renan Barao · Sep 16
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rick GlennMetricPhillipe Nover
Strikes / min
1.79
Strikes absorbed / min
2.48
Strike defense
56%
TDs / 15 min
0.99
Takedown defense
44%
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1484 vs 1488Strikes58.0 vs 18.8Takedowns0.0 vs 1.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.67Form-1.0 vs -0.7
Rick GlennPhillipe Nover

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Rick Glenn(6 fights)Phillipe Nover(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +132.0|Blue -132.0
Recent Form
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Grappler Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff
Red +7.0|Blue -7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Rick Glenn

StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights2

Phillipe Nover

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4