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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Kevin Aguilar won · U-DEC R3
Elo1491
Elo1400
Kevin Aguilar

Rick GlennvsKevin AguilarUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale · Friday, November 30, 2018Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Kevin Aguilar won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Rick Glenn wins(69.6%)

Actual result: Kevin Aguilar wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Rick Glenn at -125 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Kevin Aguilar enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Rick Glenn (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Rick Glenn
Red Corner
VS
Kevin Aguilar
Blue Corner
-125
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
1491
Elo
1400
29
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rick Glenn
oldest →
L
vs Evan Dunham · Sep 16
W
vs Phillipe Nover · Feb 17
W
vs Gavin Tucker · Sep 17
L
vs Myles Jury · Dec 17
W
vs Dennis Bermudez · Jul 18
latest
Kevin AguilarL4 streak
oldest →
W
vs Enrique Barzola · Mar 19
L
vs Dan Ige · Jun 19
L
KOvs Zubaira Tukhugov · Feb 20
L
vs Charles Rosa · Jun 20
L
vs Tucker Lutz · May 21
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rick GlennMetricKevin Aguilar
—
Strikes / min
3.96
—
Strikes absorbed / min
4.81
—
Strike defense
52%
—
TDs / 15 min
0.16
—
Takedown defense
78%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1521 vs 1500Strikes62.8 vs —Takedowns0.8 vs —Sub Atts0.40 vs —Form0.4 vs 0.0
Rick GlennKevin Aguilar

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Rick Glenn(6 fights)Kevin Aguilar(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +91.0|Blue -91.0
Recent Form
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score
Red -46.7|Blue +46.7
Grappler Score
Red -49.9|Blue +49.9
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Rick Glenn

StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights2

Kevin Aguilar

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights6