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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Richard Walsh won · U-DEC R3
Elo1359
Elo1353

Richard WalshvsChris IndichUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · Wednesday, April 16, 2014Quebec City, Quebec, Canada

Official fight result

Richard Walsh won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Richard Walsh wins(52.5%)

Actual result: Richard Walsh wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Richard Walsh at -230 American odds

+$43 profit

$143 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Richard Walsh has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Richard Walsh has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Richard Walsh
Red Corner
VS
Chris Indich
Blue Corner
-230
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+210
(32%)
1359
Elo
1353
37
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'10"
185.42 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Richard WalshL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Kiichi Kunimoto · Sep 14
L
KOvs Alan Jouban · Feb 15
W
vs Steve Kennedy · Nov 15
L
vs Viscardi Andrade · Mar 16
L
vs Jonathan Meunier · Nov 16
latest
Chris Indich
oldest →
L
KOvs Vik Grujic · Jun 14
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Richard WalshMetricChris Indich
3.84
Strikes / min
1.31
2.72
Strikes absorbed / min
4.32
58%
Strike defense
43%
1.55
TDs / 15 min
0.75
66%
Takedown defense
50%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.12Δ 4.13 — meaningful gap-3.01
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Richard Walsh(6 fights)Chris Indich(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +5.3|Blue -5.3
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Richard WalshTargetChris Indich

By target zone

50
54% acc · 70%
Head
3
9% acc · 25%
15
75% acc · 21%
Body
1
20% acc · 8%
6
67% acc · 8%
Leg
8
67% acc · 67%

By position

16
31% acc · 23%
Distance
9
23% acc · 75%
39
74% acc · 55%
Clinch
3
30% acc · 25%
16
94% acc · 23%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Richard Walsh rounds
0
even
0
Chris Indich rounds
Round 1Richard Walsh edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns3
Control3:41
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:11Control
Round 2Richard Walsh edged it
Sig. strikes39
Takedowns1
Control2:49
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:42Control
Round 3Richard Walsh edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns1
Control3:51
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:25Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
71 / 122
Sig Strikes
12 / 49
54.3%
Sig Str %
23.7%
153 / 212
Total Strikes
27 / 65
5 / 9
TDs
0 / 1
80.7%
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
2
0
Rev
0
10:21
Ctrl Time
1:18

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Chris Indich4 / 167 / 190 / 02
1Richard Walsh10 / 2620 / 393 / 70
2Chris Indich6 / 2315 / 330 / 00
2Richard Walsh39 / 5971 / 961 / 10
3Chris Indich2 / 105 / 130 / 10
3Richard Walsh22 / 3762 / 771 / 10

Richard Walsh

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights6

Chris Indich

Stance—
Height70.0"
Reach—
Fights2