Welterweight

3 Rounds

Jake Hecht won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1490

Elo1351

Rich AttonitovsJake HechtUFC Prediction Result

UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · Saturday, December 10, 2011Toronto, Ontario, Canada

Official fight result

Jake Hecht won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:10

Model Prediction: Rich Attonito wins(67.8%)

Actual result: Jake Hecht wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Rich Attonito at -230 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jake Hecht is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Rich Attonito has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Rich Attonito has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Rich Attonito

Red Corner

Jake Hecht

Blue Corner

-230

(70%)

Vegas Odds

+210

(32%)

1490

Elo

1351

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

6'0"

182.88 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rich Attonito

oldest →

KOvs Jamie Yager · Jun 10

vs Rafael Natal · Sep 10

vs David Branch · Dec 10

vs Daniel Roberts · Jun 11

latest

Jake HechtL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs TJ Waldburger · Mar 12

vs Sean Pierson · Jun 12

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rich AttonitoMetricJake Hecht

2.28

Strikes / min

3.26

2.13

Strikes absorbed / min

2.76

59%

Strike defense

56%

0.74

TDs / 15 min

2.04

75%

Takedown defense

40%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.15evenly matched on net striking+0.50

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Rich AttonitoJake Hecht

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rich Attonito(5 fights)Jake Hecht(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +138.7|Blue -138.7

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red -48.9|Blue +48.9

Grappler Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rich AttonitoTargetJake Hecht

By target zone

59% acc · 76%

Head

71% acc · 82%

75% acc · 18%

Body

60% acc · 9%

100% acc · 6%

Leg

75% acc · 9%

By position

67% acc · 24%

Distance

38% acc · 18%

0% acc

Clinch

50% acc · 3%

65% acc · 76%

Ground

90% acc · 79%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Rich Attonito rounds

even

Jake Hecht rounds

Round 1Rich Attonito edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns1

Control3:37

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Jake Hecht edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:26

27Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:13Control

Fight Stats

Totals

17 / 27

Sig Strikes

33 / 47

49.5%

Sig Str %

62.5%

42 / 56

Total Strikes

44 / 59

1 / 2

TDs

0 / 1

50%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

4:03

Ctrl Time

0:13

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jake Hecht	6 / 13	13 / 21	0 / 0
1	Rich Attonito	16 / 24	41 / 53	1 / 1
2	Jake Hecht	27 / 34	31 / 38	0 / 1
2	Rich Attonito	1 / 3	1 / 3	0 / 1

Rich Attonito

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights5

Jake Hecht

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights3