Middleweight

3 Rounds

David Branch won · U-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1372

Rich AttonitovsDavid BranchUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale · Saturday, December 4, 2010Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

David Branch won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Rich Attonito wins(65.7%)

Actual result: David Branch wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Rich Attonito at +140 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Rich Attonito has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
David Branch has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Rich Attonito

Red Corner

David Branch

Blue Corner

+140

(42%)

Vegas Odds

-160

(62%)

1490

Elo

1372

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

6'1"

182.88 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rich Attonito

oldest →

KOvs Jamie Yager · Jun 10

vs Rafael Natal · Sep 10

vs Daniel Roberts · Jun 11

KOvs Jake Hecht · Dec 11

latest

David BranchL2 streak

oldest →

vs Krzysztof Jotko · May 17

KOvs Luke Rockhold · Sep 17

KOvs Thiago Santos · Apr 18

KOvs Jared Cannonier · Nov 18

SUBvs Jack Hermansson · Mar 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rich AttonitoMetricDavid Branch

2.28

Strikes / min

1.66

2.13

Strikes absorbed / min

1.91

59%

Strike defense

56%

0.74

TDs / 15 min

2.55

75%

Takedown defense

43%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.15evenly matched on net striking-0.25

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Rich AttonitoDavid Branch

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rich Attonito(5 fights)David Branch(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +118.4|Blue -118.4

Recent Form

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rich AttonitoTargetDavid Branch

By target zone

18% acc · 33%

Head

15% acc · 13%

100% acc · 67%

Body

100% acc · 38%

Leg

100% acc · 50%

By position

22% acc · 33%

Distance

0% acc

80% acc · 67%

Clinch

100% acc · 88%

0% acc

Ground

40% acc · 13%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Rich Attonito rounds

even

David Branch rounds

Round 1David Branch edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:28

2Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

3:22Control

Round 2David Branch edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:00

9Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:23Control

Round 3David Branch edged it

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns0

Control0:00

5Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:34Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

6 / 15

Sig Strikes

16 / 27

37.3%

Sig Str %

58%

17 / 32

Total Strikes

53 / 79

0 / 0

TDs

4 / 10

—

TD %

41.7%

Sub Att

Rev

0:28

Ctrl Time

12:19

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	David Branch	2 / 9	10 / 21	2 / 4
1	Rich Attonito	1 / 8	2 / 9	0 / 0
2	David Branch	9 / 10	18 / 25	1 / 4
2	Rich Attonito	5 / 5	12 / 16	0 / 0
3	David Branch	5 / 8	25 / 33	1 / 2
3	Rich Attonito	0 / 2	3 / 7	0 / 0

Rich Attonito

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights5

David Branch

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights9