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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Said Nurmagomedov won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1483

Elo1493

Ricardo RamosvsSaid NurmagomedovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · Saturday, February 2, 2019Fortaleza, Ceara, Brazil

Official fight result

Said Nurmagomedov won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:28

Style matchupRicardo Ramos: WrestlervsSaid Nurmagomedov: Submission grappler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Said Nurmagomedov wins(52.2%)

Actual result: Said Nurmagomedov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Said Nurmagomedov at +150 American odds

+$150 profit

$250 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Said Nurmagomedov threatens submissions; Ricardo Ramos has lost 43% of fights by sub.

Tale of the Tape

Ricardo Ramos

Red Corner

Said Nurmagomedov

Blue Corner

-170

(63%)

Vegas Odds

+150

(40%)

1483

Elo

1493

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'8"

182.88 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ricardo RamosL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Charles Jourdain · Sep 23

SUBvs Julian Erosa · Mar 24

vs Josh Culibao · Aug 24

vs Chepe Mariscal · Mar 25

SUBvs Kaan Ofli · Oct 25

latest

Said NurmagomedovL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Saidyokub Kakhramonov · Dec 22

vs Jonathan Martinez · Mar 23

SUBvs Muin Gafurov · Oct 23

vs Vinicius Oliveira · Feb 25

vs Bryce Mitchell · Jul 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ricardo RamosMetricSaid Nurmagomedov

2.91

Strikes / min

3.08

3.97

Strikes absorbed / min

2.05

54%

Strike defense

55%

2.51

TDs / 15 min

0.86

67%

Takedown defense

63%

1.00

Sub atts / 15 min

1.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.06Δ 2.09 — meaningful gap+1.03

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ricardo RamosSaid Nurmagomedov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ricardo Ramos(10 fights)Said Nurmagomedov(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -10.4|Blue +10.4

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +2.0|Blue -2.0

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red -21.0|Blue +21.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ricardo RamosTargetSaid Nurmagomedov

By target zone

20% acc · 50%

Head

46% acc · 35%

50% acc · 50%

Body

100% acc · 35%

0% acc

Leg

100% acc · 29%

By position

25% acc · 100%

Distance

63% acc · 71%

Clinch

100% acc · 29%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ricardo Ramos rounds

even

Said Nurmagomedov rounds

Round 1Said Nurmagomedov edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

2 / 8

Sig Strikes

17 / 24

25%

Sig Str %

70%

2 / 8

Total Strikes

17 / 24

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:04

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Said Nurmagomedov	17 / 24	17 / 24	0 / 0	0
1	Ricardo Ramos	2 / 8	2 / 8	0 / 0	0

Ricardo Ramos

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights15

Said Nurmagomedov

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights11