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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Ricardo Ramos won · U-DEC R3
Elo1483
Ricardo Ramos
Elo1359

Ricardo RamosvsMichinori TanakaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · Saturday, February 4, 2017Houston, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Ricardo Ramos won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRicardo Ramos: WrestlervsMichinori Tanaka: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Michinori Tanaka wins(64.9%)

Actual result: Ricardo Ramos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Michinori Tanaka at -125 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Ricardo Ramos has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Ricardo Ramos has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Ricardo Ramos
Red Corner
VS
Michinori Tanaka
Blue Corner
+105
(49%)
Vegas Odds
-125
(56%)
1483
Elo
1359
30
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'5"
182.88 cm
Reach
170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ricardo RamosL2 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Charles Jourdain · Sep 23
L
SUBvs Julian Erosa · Mar 24
W
vs Josh Culibao · Aug 24
L
vs Chepe Mariscal · Mar 25
L
SUBvs Kaan Ofli · Oct 25
latest
Michinori Tanaka
oldest →
W
vs Roland Delorme · Jun 14
L
vs Kyung Ho Kang · Sep 14
W
vs Joe Soto · Jan 16
L
vs Rani Yahya · Sep 16
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ricardo RamosMetricMichinori Tanaka
2.91
Strikes / min
1.97
3.97
Strikes absorbed / min
1.99
54%
Strike defense
50%
2.51
TDs / 15 min
2.40
67%
Takedown defense
43%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.06Δ 1.04 — meaningful gap-0.02

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1502Strikes vs 30.0Takedowns vs 2.5Sub Atts vs 0.25Form0.0 vs -0.3
Ricardo RamosMichinori Tanaka

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Ricardo Ramos(10 fights)Michinori Tanaka(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +123.6|Blue -123.6
Recent Form
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score
Red +48.7|Blue -48.7
Grappler Score
Red +49.5|Blue -49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ricardo RamosTargetMichinori Tanaka

By target zone

27
42% acc · 60%
Head
10
19% acc · 36%
14
70% acc · 31%
Body
4
100% acc · 14%
4
100% acc · 9%
Leg
14
82% acc · 50%

By position

19
39% acc · 42%
Distance
26
39% acc · 93%
14
82% acc · 31%
Clinch
1
50% acc · 4%
12
55% acc · 27%
Ground
1
20% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Ricardo Ramos rounds
0
even
2
Michinori Tanaka rounds
Round 1Ricardo Ramos edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns0
Control1:13
Knockdowns1
2Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:22Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Michinori Tanaka edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:29
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:19Control
Round 3Michinori Tanaka edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:50Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
45 / 88
Sig Strikes
28 / 73
55%
Sig Str %
34.3%
55 / 99
Total Strikes
51 / 103
0 / 1
TDs
2 / 8
0%
TD %
27.7%
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:42
Ctrl Time
3:31

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Michinori Tanaka2 / 142 / 141 / 20
1Ricardo Ramos29 / 5234 / 580 / 00
2Michinori Tanaka8 / 1715 / 260 / 30
2Ricardo Ramos7 / 911 / 130 / 00
3Michinori Tanaka18 / 4234 / 631 / 30
3Ricardo Ramos9 / 2710 / 280 / 11

Ricardo Ramos

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights15

Michinori Tanaka

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights5