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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Lerone Murphy won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1483
Ricardo Ramos
Elo1534

Ricardo RamosvsLerone MurphyUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige · Wednesday, July 15, 2020Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Lerone Murphy won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:18

Style matchupRicardo Ramos: WrestlervsLerone Murphy: Elusive striker

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Ricardo Ramos wins(71.0%)

Actual result: Lerone Murphy wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ricardo Ramos at -162 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Ricardo Ramos has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Ricardo Ramos
Red Corner
VS
Lerone Murphy
Blue Corner
-162
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
1483
Elo
1534
30
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'9"
182.88 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ricardo RamosL2 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Charles Jourdain · Sep 23
L
SUBvs Julian Erosa · Mar 24
W
vs Josh Culibao · Aug 24
L
vs Chepe Mariscal · Mar 25
L
SUBvs Kaan Ofli · Oct 25
latest
Lerone Murphy
oldest →
W
vs Edson Barboza · May 24
W
vs Dan Ige · Oct 24
W
vs Josh Emmett · Apr 25
W
KOvs Aaron Pico · Aug 25
L
vs Movsar Evloev · Mar 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ricardo RamosMetricLerone Murphy
2.91
Strikes / min
4.34
3.97
Strikes absorbed / min
2.65
54%
Strike defense
60%
2.51
TDs / 15 min
1.20
67%
Takedown defense
44%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.06Δ 2.75 — meaningful gap+1.69

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1559 vs 1500Strikes3.0 vs 1.9Takedowns2.1 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.70 vs 2.00Form0.6 vs 0.0
Ricardo RamosLerone Murphy

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701493151515381560← oldermost recent →
Ricardo Ramos(10 fights)Lerone Murphy(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -51.0|Blue +51.0
Recent Form
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score
Red -48.4|Blue +48.4
Grappler Score
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ricardo RamosTargetLerone Murphy

By target zone

3
18% acc · 30%
Head
14
44% acc · 64%
1
33% acc · 10%
Body
5
100% acc · 23%
6
67% acc · 60%
Leg
3
100% acc · 14%

By position

7
28% acc · 70%
Distance
3
25% acc · 14%
1
50% acc · 10%
Clinch
2
67% acc · 9%
2
100% acc · 20%
Ground
17
68% acc · 77%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Ricardo Ramos rounds
0
even
1
Lerone Murphy rounds
Round 1Lerone Murphy edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:57
22Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:22Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
10 / 29
Sig Strikes
22 / 40
34%
Sig Str %
55%
10 / 29
Total Strikes
24 / 42
0 / 2
TDs
1 / 2
0%
TD %
50%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:57
Ctrl Time
1:22

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Lerone Murphy22 / 4024 / 421 / 20
1Ricardo Ramos10 / 2910 / 290 / 20

Ricardo Ramos

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights15

Lerone Murphy

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights10