Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Featherweight
3 Rounds
Kaan Ofli won · SUB R1
Elo1483
Ricardo Ramos
Elo1551

Ricardo RamosvsKaan OfliUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · Saturday, October 11, 2025Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Official fight result

Kaan Ofli won

SUB · Round 1 · 3:02

Model Prediction: Kaan Ofli wins(59.3%)

Actual result: Kaan Ofli wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kaan Ofli at +188 American odds

+$188 profit

$288 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Kaan Ofli threatens submissions; Ricardo Ramos has lost 43% of fights by sub.
  • Ricardo Ramos has 67pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Ricardo Ramos has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Ricardo Ramos
Red Corner
VS
Kaan Ofli
Blue Corner
-225
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+188
(35%)
1483
Elo
1551
30
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'7"
182.88 cm
Reach
167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ricardo Ramos
oldest →
W
KOvs Danny Chavez · Jun 22
L
SUBvs Charles Jourdain · Sep 23
L
SUBvs Julian Erosa · Mar 24
W
vs Josh Culibao · Aug 24
L
vs Chepe Mariscal · Mar 25
latest
Kaan OfliW2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Mairon Santos · Aug 24
L
vs Muhammad Naimov · Feb 25
W
vs Yizha · Jan 26
W
SUBvs Javier Reyes · Jun 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ricardo RamosMetricKaan Ofli
2.91
Strikes / min
2.33
3.97
Strikes absorbed / min
3.34
54%
Strike defense
54%
2.51
TDs / 15 min
0.38
67%
Takedown defense
0%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.06evenly matched on net striking-1.01

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1517 vs 1470Strikes2.9 vs 2.3Takedowns2.5 vs 0.4Sub Atts1.00 vs 0.40Form-0.4 vs -1.0
Ricardo RamosKaan Ofli

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701495152015451570← oldermost recent →
Ricardo Ramos(10 fights)Kaan Ofli(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -68.6|Blue +68.6
Recent Form
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff
Red -28.0|Blue +28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ricardo RamosTargetKaan Ofli

By target zone

1
50% acc · 100%
Head
0
0
0% acc
Body
0
0
0% acc
Leg
1
100% acc · 100%

By position

1
25% acc · 100%
Distance
1
100% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Ricardo Ramos rounds
0
even
1
Kaan Ofli rounds
Round 1Kaan Ofli edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
1Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:56Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
1 / 4
Sig Strikes
1 / 1
25%
Sig Str %
100%
1 / 4
Total Strikes
1 / 1
0 / 0
TDs
1 / 1
—
TD %
100%
3
Sub Att
1
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
1:56

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Kaan Ofli1 / 11 / 11 / 11
1Ricardo Ramos1 / 41 / 40 / 03

Ricardo Ramos

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights15

Kaan Ofli

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights5